Senate debate resumed Tuesday on the fiscal stimulus package, and as it did several economists offered their policy advice for the august members of the world's greatest deliberative body. The biggest change should concern size, so says economist David H. Wang. "It's too small. A $900 billion plan is good, but the stimulus plans that most effectively increase GDP are ones that are large, and the bigger the package, the bigger bang you'll get for your buck, from a GDP standpoint," Wang said. Wang said he would add at least $300 billion in spending to the plan.
Wang added that Republicans should continue to whittle-away at minor stimulus package items that don't address the economy directly, such as sex education / family planning funds, anti-smoking and HIV prevention programs, but should not obstruct passage of the needed stimulus plan.
Favors corporate tax rate cut
Meanwhile, economist Peter Dawson would like to see a cut in the U.S. corporate tax rate, currently 35%, to 25%.
"If it creates a large increase in business investment and hiring, I would then lower it further, to 20%," Dawson said. Cutting the corporate tax rate would initially result in lower federal government receipts, which would increase the deficit, short-term, but ultimately would lead to higher receipts and GDP growth, long-term, Dawson said.
Dawson would also expand the alternative minimum tax fix to $100 billion from the current $75 billion, enabling more middle-income Americans to see a tax savings.
The price tag for Dawson's stimulus plan? About $1.3 trillion, about $100 billion more than Wang's. Each has the potential to drive inflation higher by early 2010, he said, but that's a cost the nation can and should bear, he said.
"Trust me. Economic growth with a little inflation next year beats the alternative," Dawson said.
Fiscal Policy / Economic Analysis: Congressional Democrats fell into some habits, including about $60-90 billion in questionable programs and "pet" projects, depending on the methodology used, in the fiscal stimulus plan. Many will be weeded-out, and the Republicans deserve credit for drawing attention to them. That said, the stimulus package must pass and will pass. Further, Congress must remain at-the-ready to inject another $500-$700 billion in fiscal stimulus in 6-9 months, if economic conditions do not improve, as measured by GDP, corporate hiring, manufacturing output, and business formation.











Reader Comments (Page 1 of 1)
2-04-2009 @ 10:01AM
Vinny Benfante said...
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