You have to appreciate the cleverness of this era's financial humor. (Note that I said, appreciate the cleverness, not love, or enjoy. That's because, depending on your perspective, the humor is either on-the-mark, or not that funny. But that is part of the subjective nature of humor.)One joke making the rounds:
Question: What's the capital of Iceland?
Answer: $25.
Another: In the old days, banks lent money to people. These days, people lend money to banks.
New York Times (NYSE: NYT) columnist and Nobel Prize-winning economist Paul Krugman discusses bank capital and lending in his most recent column, and argues that the apparent likely Obama administration fix for the banking sector -- a combination of U.S. government purchase of toxic assets and guarantees against losses on other assets, each on terms favorable to the banks -- represents a lousy deal for the U.S. taxpayer, who'll end up "footing the bill for rescuing the banks."
Krugman argues that if the aforementioned plan passes, it would perpetuate the system of heads (profits) -- the banks win, tails (bad loans) -- the U.S. taxpayer loses.
Krugman's better plan: have the U.S. government buy stock in the banks, i.e. nationalize them, at least temporarily. To charges of government takeover of a private sector, Krugman says, "So what?" If taxpayers are rescuing the banks, why shouldn't they get ownership?, Krugman argues, at least until private capital is courageous enough to invest in them.
Capitalizing viable banks, which my BloggingStocks colleague Peter Cohan has also written extensively about, appears more likely to offer a better outcome for the U.S. taxpayer than the much-bantered 'buy the toxic assets' strategy currently circulating through the corridors of power in Washington.
Yours truly hasn't done a multiple-variable regression analysis on the toxic asset pool, but the sense here is that a lot of these assets won't return to par -- although many could appreciate to profitable levels prior to government sale -- which means the government will take a sizable loss on these assets. Better to have more protection for the taxpayer via preferred stock in any bank rescue, hence the preference for Krugman's plan.
An unanticipated task
Still, government majority stock ownership of a large portion of the banking sector does not represent an optimal state, not even for liberals and others who favor an activist government. In a very real sense, it represents government entrance in to private space they hadn't anticipated.
That's because, public resources represent a very narrow segment in corporate capitalism, and many liberals were counting on those public resources being deployed in areas where there is almost no chance the private sector can achieve fairness, namely in health care and education. In short, with only so many tax dollars to go around, every dollar spent on the banks is one less dollar for health care and education reform / improvements.
Keynesians and other liberals expected the next cycle of liberalism to build on the current economic system -- via public policies to make it more just, while retaining the private sector's many benefits -- not to have to patch large leaks in the current system. But it is patch, we must, if the nation hopes to return to sustainable economic growth.
Financial Editor Joseph Lazzaro is based in New York.











Reader Comments (Page 1 of 1)
2-03-2009 @ 10:46PM
kenloebel said...
JP MOrgan Chase was going to charge $750 for an appraisal AND closing costs for me to refinance a mortgage (quoted within past ten days). New Govt program being discussed would pay banks $1000 just for closing costs - i.e. - banks rape the public again, but because Uncle sam is trying to appease the peasants before riots break out, they justify overpaying the banks, in order to get loans to people in trouble on their mortgage -
What about us fools who struggled and paid all of our bills on time - this is starting to smell like crap to me.
2-03-2009 @ 11:19PM
jen said...
my question is this,why are we bailing out the banks in the first place? they put the american people in this position y are we handing them a free ride to our money again? wouldn't it make more sense to put the money back in the hands of the american people who need it to dig themselves out of the hole the banks put them in ? it would be cheaper to hand every person in america 1 million dollars to spend then it would be to try and fix every company that destroyed themselves because of greed!
4-01-2009 @ 4:28PM
W. Clay Jones said...
Excellent article!
Toxic derivatives (beyond mortgage-backed securities) are very likely worthless.
It is generally acknowledged that the major banks were well beyond their chartered loan ratios before Hank Paulson started pumping money into them, which gave the Fed not only the right, but also the obligation to take those FDIC-backed institutions.
We may be in a Catch-22 situation that precluded such action. Namely, there may be insufficient capital available to offset the rampant greed that birthed derivatives with no purpose except to generate fees.
If true, accountability should be guaranteed by Obama/DOJ at some future point, for which the Fed & Treasury will maintain detailed records, statutes of limitation suspended and Presidential pardons contraindicated.
http://wclayjones.wordpress.com/2009/04/01/where-is-this-…debacle-headed/