AOL Money & Finance

Ray of Light: Obama administration may offer mortgage refinance plan

More

Economists note that the U.S. recession that has mushroomed into a global recession with constrained credit and falling demand began with the rise in foreclosures in the U.S. housing sector.

Hence, ending the rise in foreclosures, while it would not mean U.S. GDP growth would immediately follow, will help put the world's largest economy on the road to recovery, many economists agree.

Further, it looks like the Obama administration is set to make a large financial commitment toward achieving that goal by allocating up to $100 billion of the TARP's second $350 billion in bailout / rescue funds for home mortgage refinances, Bloomberg News reported Tuesday.


The plan would guarantee mortgage payment for lenders that refinance mortgages for at-risk homeowners, Comptroller of the Currency John Dugan, who regulates national banks, told Bloomberg News. The plan would also pay lenders / servicers a $1,000 fee to cover closing costs.

Economist Richard Felson told BloggingStocks Tuesday he expects the Obama administration to face criticism from some economic conservatives, but the stronger argument rests with those who support a federal refinance plan, in his interpretation.

"Up to 1.5 million, perhaps as many 2 million at-risk homeowners would avoid a foreclosure," Felson said. "Having 2 million homeowners retain their homes ... that's a mini-stimulus plan in its own right. That would mean there would be 2 million more homes paying utility bills, maintaining their properties, paying property taxes, paying insurance. That's a remarkable economic boost right there."

Further, Felson estimated that 2 million fewer home foreclosures would raise U.S. GDP by 0.5-0.8 percentage points above where it would be with those foreclosures. The U.S. economy contracted by 3.8% in Q4 2008 and by 0.5% in Q3 2008.

Housing Sector / Economic Analysis: The Obama administration program appears to be a modified version of the FDIC's plan proposed last fall, and it's a plan that's long overdue. True, housing will not play as large a role in next U.S. economic expansion, but it's almost impossible for the U.S. economy to grow without a healthy housing sector

Reader Comments (Page 1 of 1)

Symbol Lookup
IndexesChangePrice
DJIA-137.3210,327.08
NASDAQ-28.742,147.31
S&P 500-16.321,094.31

Last updated: November 27, 2009: 12:14 PM

BloggingStocks Exclusives

Hot Stocks

DailyFinance Headlines

Latest from BloggingBuyouts

TheFlyOnTheWall.com Headlines

BioHealth Investor Headlines

WalletPop Headlines

My Portfolios

Track your stocks here!

Find out why more people track their portfolios on AOL Money & Finance then anywhere else.

BloggingStocks Partners

More from AOL Money & Finance

WalletPop Headlines