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With $500,000 salary cap, all the best bankers will walk

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The latest proposal from the Obama administration is that the salaries of the executives at firms that take TARP money will be capped at $500,000. While it is not clear which companies will be included, it may be that much of the banking industry will be.

The program may not be as tough as one that was proposed to cap the compensation of every banker on Wall Street at $400,000. But, if the top executives at these firms see the trend going that way, how long will they stay in their current jobs?

According to The New York Times, "Executives would also be prohibited from receiving any bonuses above their base pay, except for normal stock dividends."

A great deal has been written about whether this kind of cap is good for financial firms. It would certainly bring down their tremendous compensation costs, which would make them more profitable. But that might not last for more than a year.

The case for caps is that the top bankers and traders have nowhere to go. A look at smaller Wall Street firms indicates that that assumption may not be so, at least for the very top tier of financial managers. Boutique firms still do much of the M&A and advisory work for large corporations. Some hedge funds will fold, but the strongest ones will rarely turn away an elite trader.

Wall Street may keep most of its bankers if they face pay cuts, but it is the top 5% or 10% who make these companies really profitable, and they will soon be on their way to greener pastures if this measure is enacted. Owning shares in big banks and brokerages could become more dicey than it already is.

Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 24/7 Wall St.

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Last updated: November 28, 2009: 12:09 AM

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