Once there were two mutual funds. Now look how many. So goes capitalism. Create a product people need or, through a massive advertising campaign, suddenly discover they want, make a ton of money off that product and suddenly you have imitators. Suddenly, there are three mutual funds, four, five until today there are over 7,000. The mutual fund like everything else "free market" capitalism produces has become a commodity, bought and sold like grain.
How do you make money off a commodity? Either become the low-cost producer or find a way to differentiate yourself. The commoditization process always means profit margins get squeezed because if you won't offer your mutual funds for a low price someone down the block or in India or China will. And then you will be forced out of business. The birth of Vanguard's low-cost S&P 500 index fund in 1976 marked the ultimate commoditizing moment in the history of mutual funds.
And then came differentiation (i.e., "niche products"). Having a regular old stock fund suddenly wasn't good enough anymore. We had to have small-cap stocks, growth stocks, value stocks, emerging markets, small-cap value semiconductor makers from India stocks. But no sooner did someone make a mint launching a "new" kind of fund than he had 50 imitators offering to do the same thing for less. The longer the funds' names got, the further along the commoditization process we were. It meant that newcomers were running out of room to create anything worthwhile and were simply looking for add-ons, bells and whistles to existing products to differentiate themselves. How about the Eaton Vance Tax-Managed Equity Asset Allocation Fund (EAEAX)? Or the Allegiant Multi-Factor Small-Cap Focused Value Fund (ALUCX)? Or the ING Index Plus LargeCap Equity Fund VIII (IAIIX)? How many different ways can they find to slice the same bread?
Once you start seeing names like this you know an industry is in trouble. It is glutted with product and inevitably there will be some sort of crash. But before that happens there is usually some form of corruption. Executives who've run out of ideas on how to sell product to consumers glutted with it will inevitably try to cut a few corners and add to their bottom lines by skirting the law or pushing the envelope as far as possible without breaking it. The only thing stopping them is how heavily regulated the industry is.
Thankfully, the mutual fund industry is heavily regulated. The Investment Company Act of 1940 is as strict as they come for financial products. We had one major scandal involving illegal trading during the 2000-2002 bear market, but other than that the industry's been pretty quiet of late. One could argue it is overdue for its own Madoff-like meltdown. But hedge funds' claim to fame was always their secretive cache and lack of regulation. That is a recipe for corruption.
The same could be said of the banking industry, which became increasingly deregulated and opaque in its dealings during the Bush era. And the same cycle of "new" products glutting the market place occurred. Executives created every kind of kooky mortgage they could think of, and when they couldn't think of any more they started offering these mortgages to borrowers who had no means whatsoever to repay them. They then packaged these mortgages up in CMO bonds, created derivatives on those bonds and added leverage to the mix -- and boom! -- a spectacular meltdown.
So what's next? After the meltdown inevitably there are layoffs and consolidation. The healthy fish consume the weaker dying ones. Already, in the fund world we've seen massive layoffs at fund giant Fidelity and more are sure to come. And when the weakest have laid off as many people as possible only to find they still can't survive, a suitor will come a-callin' and such-and-such tiny fund company with the longest fund names in history will disappear.
Conservative pundits might call this process "creative destruction." I just call it destruction. The idea that the world somehow needs these economic bubbles is a cruel joke on people who actually work for a living and now suddenly find themselves without one. 7,000 plus mutual funds and 500 different kinds of mortgages and 80 different brands of deodorant would all be fine and dandy if there were no such thing as hunger. But there is.
Why do we need 7,770 mutual funds in America when the lines at food banks grow longer every day? I would like someone to answer that question.











Reader Comments (Page 1 of 1)
2-07-2009 @ 9:54PM
TX CHL Instructor said...
"Why do we need 7,770 mutual funds in America when the lines at food banks grow longer every day? I would like someone to answer that question."
Why do we need Yet Another Bush-bashing Blogger who hasn't quite figured out that Obama is now the President, when lines at the public pork trough grow longer each day?
2-07-2009 @ 10:03PM
TX CHL Instructor said...
Ah, the open-ended politically-biased question-begging game! I can play it, too!
Here's another question I'd like to see answered: Why is it that Obama hasn't been called to answer for why he committed treason by willfully violating the Logan Act?
Or, why is the MSM hasn't issued a peep about the fact that Obama considers conservation rules (like wearing warmer clothing so you can turn your thermostat down) to be only for Other People?
--
www.chl-tx.com Thanks to the Chicago Politician with the Blank Resume, my business is booming! Thanks, BHO!
2-09-2009 @ 12:49AM
Kerri said...
Anything you do in the country, someone is out to rip you off. The phone company, the cable company, electric, water, and gas companies. Retail and grocery stores. The list just goes on and on. Your investors, bankers... just absolutely any time you have any kind of dealings out in the world, someone is out to nickel and dime you to death. (some, much more than just nickels and dimes) Living in America almost makes me want to go hide under a rock.
I am just so sick of everyone's greed. Do what I do, and learn to trade the forex. You don't need to rely on any investors. Do it yourself! If you don't know how to trade, get a free $100,000 forex trade simulator account at http://forex-currencyexchange.com click the link at the top left corner, if I remember correctly. It will take you to a sign up page where all you have to do is give your name and email. You can then start practicing trading.