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Big 3 slump may lead to U.S. innovation slump

The mantra of the day is frugality and cutback. Rightsize and hunker-down, as tougher economic times are ahead.

But graft hunkering-down on to a U.S. auto sector that has accounted for a disproportionate share of lateral innovation, and you have the makings of an U.S. innovation slump, if not a drought.

The Wall Street Journal points out that the U.S. auto sector has had a kind of dual personality with regard to innovation. The Big 3 have failed to roll-out technologies that would have made their cars more competitive on the global stage, while at the same time pushed their suppliers -- including steel makers and auto parts suppliers -- to improve their parts supplied in order to retain the Big 3's business. Further, that high-performance-bar for suppliers has benefited other industries: one example -- metal parts in cars that last longer has led to metal parts in other applications, and for other industries, that do the same.

The danger now, some analysts fear, however, is that if General Motors (NYSE: GM), Ford (NYSE: F), and Chrysler disappear, or downsize radically during the recession, all of the aforementioned innovation ripple-effects will disappear as well, The Journal reported.

Is an innovation slump ahead?

Economist Peter Dawson told BloggingStocks that the innovation void mentioned above is yet another, major reason why Congress and President Obama have to be ready infuse the Big 3 with more capital -- properly structured to protect/benefit the taxpayer -- if need be. What's more, Dawson argues the nation can turn a sad chapter into a new beginning. Detroit, Dawson said, earlier this decade somehow saw fit to abandon the car market to Japan (and other nations), and concentrate on low-mpg SUVs and light trucks. The fruits of the tactic were self-evident when gasoline topped first $3, then $4 per gallon in 2008. Detroit will end its drought, Dawson argued, when it deploys innovative car technologies that re-grab market share. "We can turn a potential innovation drought into a period when innovation will be deployed at an unprecedented pace," Dawson said.

Or in other words, now is the time for Detroit to get the weight out of its cars, deploy more-efficient engines, better transmissions, and more aerodynamic designs, all accompanied by solid craftsmanship and forward-looking styles that Americans will buy.

Auto Sector Analysis: The innovation benefit is another reason the Big 3's assets must never be idled. Economic conservatives, market absolutists, and others are frequently quick to mouth slogans like, "pure capitalism requires that those that underperform be allowed to fail." That is a woefully inadequate and simplistic industrial policy that's anti-GDP growth and anti-innovation. And investors should keep in mind that GDP growth and innovation are a big part of what the American economic system is all about.

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Last updated: November 25, 2009: 01:40 PM

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