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CEOs won't step up and buy stock

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Investors who look to insider sentiment as a sign of when to buy stocks will be sorely disappointed with the latest news on insider trading: Over the past 90 days, insiders at U.S. companies have bought $670.2 million worth of stock while dumping $2.8 billion on the market. In the last 60 trading days of 2008, insider buying was down by about 16% over the previous year. That sounds bad, but it actually buys a larger chunk of a stock market that's down more than 30%. So you could actually make the case that insider buying is up!

Matt Krantz reports that the reason for the less-than-enthusiastic insider buying could be driven by the weakening balance sheets of the executives themselves. While CEO compensation certainly hasn't declined along with the market, the value of executives' portfolios has tanked. "Some CEOs face tax bills on shares they received as compensation," the USA Today reports -- even though those shares may not be worth as much as they were when the taxes were calculated.

This certainly doesn't qualify as good news but I'm skeptical of insider trading as a harbinger of company performance anyway: If they really did know something you don't and traded based on it, they'd be committing a felony. If we've learned only one othing ver the past few years, it should be this: The people running Corporate America don't know much more than we do.

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Last updated: November 26, 2009: 08:30 PM

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