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Hillary Clinton's plain talk on her China trip

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China has $1.95 Trillion in foreign exchange reserves and is the largest holder of US government debt. It holds about $696.2 billion of US Treasuries.

US Secretary of State, Hillary Clinton, went to China and asked the Chinese directly what their policy is toward the purchase of our debt. Secretary Clinton emphasized the interconnectedness of our two economies. Clinton said: "It would not be in China's interest if we were unable to get our economy moving again." She went on to say: "We are truly going to rise or fall together."


Chinese Foreign Minister, Yang Jiechi, reportedly said that China had no plans to change its policies on US Treasury purchases.

So far the delicate balance where China buys our debt and we, in turn, import their goods is still intact. However, the US and Chinese economies are walking a tightrope. If conditions in China continue to deteriorate and China falls deeper into recession, they will need to use a greater sum of their foreign exchange reserves.

Looking down a dark tunnel, China may be forced to limit of cease purchasing US Treasury securities. This, in turn, would place extreme pressure on our bond market. No other country has the reserves to pick up the slack. In a worse case scenario it would throw our bond market into chaos.

The problem is further complicated by the high unemployment in the US, now about 5 million people. Overall, Americans have less money to spend for purchasing China's goods.

Let's hope that neither country falls off the tightrope.

Do you believe that China will limit or stop buying US Treasuries?

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Last updated: November 26, 2009: 10:25 AM

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