The saga of Target (NYSE: TGT) has been a fascinating one for retail watchers. Once considered the only peer to Wal-Mart (NYSE: WMT) in mass market merchandising, Target magically levitated above the hoi polloi in blue smocks by selling cheap stuff that somehow managed to be cool. Shares have been on a wild ride, although Piqqem Sentiment for the company is positive valuing shares well above the current $30 zone.Consensus analyst rating on the stock is a "hold," leaning to slightly bullish sentiment. Insider buying and selling has been light but leaning towards the sales side.
The Christmas season was a horrible one all around with bad weather, difficult comps to previous years and everyone losing their jobs and houses. Not a good time to be a retailer, even a discount one. But Wal-Mart has managed to pull itself out, in part due to its smart merchandising for grocery segment -- an area where Target has never really measured up.
A major concern, too, is that other companies have copied Target's discount luxury act and are pulling it off pretty well. Wal-Mart's Hannah Montana line is one example of that, as are the Martha Stewart products now on sale at Targetesque prices at Macy's (NYSE: M)
Expect Target not to miss by too much or beat by too little -- the company is too smartly managed for wild earnings misses. Still, unless the retailer can show some signs of up, meaning, improvements in same-store sales (which declined last quarter), then shares will trade sideways at best on the report.










