"The solar sector has been notably weak, including First Solar (NASDAQ: FSLR)," says Stephen Leeb. Despite the setback, the editor of The Complete Investor rates the stock a high risk buy.
"First Solar is one of the few whose earnings outperformed consensus estimates: its fourth-quarter results reported yesterday after the market's close were nearly 25% better than estimates.
"First Solar made $1.61 per share this past quarter; Wall Street was expecting $1.30 per share. Revenues were also ahead of estimates, although the company reduced 2009 revenue estimates by about 10%, citing short-term credit concerns for customers.
"Still, management sees at least 45% top-line growth for the full year. While manufacturing advances kept cost reductions on track and lowered its module cost per watt below $1 during the period, margins felt some pressure courtesy of the economic environment.
"First Solar remains the low-cost leader in the sector, and has the wherewithal to survive the negative operating environment.
"In our view, the recent drop in the share price appears to be a knee-jerk reaction to the company's short-term headwinds, with no regard for the tremendous tailwinds solar stocks are receiving from the Obama administration.
"Michael Ahearn, the company's CEO, summed it up best on the conference call: 'In three to five years, the market outlook for solar has never been better, but the short-term outlook for the solar industry has never looked more difficult.'
"We continue to like First Solar as a high-risk play, trading at a PEG well below 1, and we see the latest weakness as a buying opportunity."
Steven Halpern's TheStockAdvisors.com offers a daily look at the latest market commentary and favorite stock picks and investment ideas from the nation's leading financial newsletter advisors.
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Reader Comments (Page 1 of 1)
3-03-2009 @ 6:28PM
ryan said...
First Solar is the leader in the solar industry. With initiatives from the Obama administration, First Solar will be in even better standing in 5 years. FSLR may be somewhat volatile and risky right now but investors are confident in FSLR and sentiment is bullish (http://www.predictwallstreet.com/forecast.aspx?symbol=FSLR). It's about timing with this company but I think they are a good bet.
3-26-2009 @ 11:09PM
solarcountry said...
Definitely a difficult buy. I like the buy opportunity of ESLR. Evergreen Solar is at a buy point.
http://www.solarcountry.us