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Should OPEC cut oil production again at Sunday's meeting?

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Put yourself in the shoes of the OPEC ministers meeting this weekend in Geneva. They will be sitting down and discussing the current supply/demand for oil in the coming months. The world is in crisis and OPEC has cut oil production several times over the past year. Now they must decide again what to do.

Here are some cold facts. OPEC expects oil demand to fall by 1 million barrels per day in 2009. That in itself is not so unusual, but now look at the one. Demand growth from developing countries is shrinking by 80% compared with last year. There is a glut of oil in storage and in tankers around the world, with estimates of a 57-day supply. This excess supply is unusually high by OPEC's standards.

Then there are problems among OPEC members themselves. While they all agree to a production cut, there is rarely any follow-through by each and every member. For example, Ecuador cut its production by only 33% while Saudi Arabia cut theirs by 108%. Then you have non-OPEC producers that actually will increase production by 400,000 barrels per day.

In the current situation, do you think OPEC will cut production again?

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Last updated: November 26, 2009: 09:21 AM

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