Bonuses in the AIG poker game: We stole it fair and square

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In my previous post on the Financial Stability plan presented by the Obama administration, I mentioned the dangers involved with dealing with some of the sharpest players on Wall Street. I used the analogy of not knowing who the sucker is when you sit down at the poker table because it turns out to be you!

It turns out that the taxpayer bailout money was used to pay bonuses of about $450 million to a small group of employees at the business unit that lost $40.5 billion last year at AIG and caused the crisis in the first place. Apparently, this appears to be a contractual obligation of AIG which cannot be abrogated.



This is somewhat like putting up a reward for information leading to the recovery of money in a bank robbery and then paying the bounty to the bank robbers who then get to claim immunity from prosecution. I think that we now know who the sucker is at the poker table: the U.S. taxpayer.

Secretary Geithner and President Obama are looking for a way to rescind the bonuses. If they do not, the public anger building on both sides of the political divide will intensify. No one likes to be viewed as a sucker. Support for any future bailout plans may be very limited.

This could prevent necessary measures and reforms to deal with the financial crisis because people will no longer trust those in charge. In this environment, investor confidence is paramount. "Stealing it fair and square" is not an acceptable excuse. If the public believes companies like this can get away with taxpayer dollars, this distrust will spread to the government as well. This means that we could easily have another lost decade like Japan.

Doug Roberts is the Founder and Chief Investment Strategist for ChannelCapitalResearch.com, an independent research firm focusing on investment strategies using the Federal Reserve's impact on the stock prices. He is the author of Follow the Fed® to Investment Success and an expert on FreePassers™. He previously held executive positions at Morgan Stanley Group and Sanford C. Bernstein & Co.


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Last updated: March 19, 2010: 05:43 AM

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