U.S. housing sector update: Still fence-sitters' market


Bloomberg director and columnist Jane Bryant Quinn wants to let investors and readers know that the much-criticized (and justifiably so) mortgage sector has not entirely disappeared.

Further, I don't think she'd mind if I said Ms. Quinn, a leading financial writer for many years, has seen a recession or two: she's seen the disasters arrive, and seen them leave. The United States manages to muddle through every time. (Granted, this crisis calls for heavy-duty muddling through.)


A time to house hunt?

With the above as background, and with home prices approaching attractive levels, is now a good time for potential home buyers to consider taking out a mortgage for a home?

Certain banks are advertising 5.5% fixed, 30-year mortgage rates, Quinn says, but obtaining one may be a little like trying to secure an invitation to dine with the Queen of England. Requirements: a mortgage of $417,000 or less; 20% down; a FICO score of at least 730-750 out of 850; a low debt/income ratio; a reliable income (ex-bonus) confirmed by tax returns; and a prospective home in an area where prices have stabilized. Miss one criterion, and your interest rate rises; several, and your mortgage application is likely to fail.

Once you've been approved, Bryant also recommends locking in an interest rate for the length of time it takes the loan to close: don't accept a verbal lock -- get it in writing, as rates can change as much as a quarter point (or more) in a single day.

Housing/Economic Analysis: Is it better to go for that low-interest rate now? Excluding those who have found their dream homes and can't wait, unless home prices in your market have stabilized -- i.e. they've risen or haven't declined for three straight months or longer -- on a total cost basis, potential buyers would be better off waiting. Mortgage rates could rise, but this cost in most cases will be offset by another 10%, 20% or even larger, expected decline in median home prices in many markets.

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Last updated: February 13, 2012: 09:07 AM

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