Is commercial property debt the next 'black hole'?


Leon Black, head of Apollo Management, uses the term "black hole" to describe the pressure being put on commercial banks from nonperforming commercial loans. He estimates that it would take $2 trillion to clean up the mess.

So far losses from commercial property loans have not been reflected on bank balance sheets. In the go-go days of the past eight years, money came in from private equity to buy up troubled assets, clean up their balance sheets, and resell them. Now that has all but dried up, leaving only a few firms in the market for distressed assets.

Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernake hopes to draw in more private equity under the TALF (term asset-backed securities loan facility) program. Under the guidelines, private equity would partner with the Federal Reserve to buy up troubled mortgages and also toxic asset loans. The interest charges on any loans to private buyers would be kept low to encourage wider participation.

Do you believe that the TALF program will be successful?

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