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JockStocks: Is Dick's Sporting Goods about to tee off and drive higher?

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I have waxed poetically about how much I like golf in the past -- some may even say that I am obsessed (like Tiger Woods' lawyers -- kidding). With the great city of Cincinnati finally wrapping up winter and seeing that bright glowing orb known as the sun, I can't help but think about getting out there on the links and destroying some landscaping.

One sure way to tell that golf season is right around the corner is when your local Dick's Sporting Goods (NYSE: DKS) starts touting itself as the golf headquarters. Well, guess what happened over the weekend? That's right, I saw my first golf commercial. My question is, will the start of golf season be enough to help the sports retailer put the recent downturn behind itself and push forward?

There can be no doubt that the recent downturn in the economy has beaten down and battered the retail sector, and DKS is no exception. On a weekly basis, the stock has descended steadily since 2007 -- wilting under pressure from its 10-, 20-, and 50-week moving averages.

The 50-week trendline has provided the strongest resistance, and it seems that the stock is about to run headlong into this moving average yet again. In the past, this trendline acted as support -- which could solidify the resistance that the equity faces.

Savy technical analysts may note that DKS's 10-week moving average is about to complete a bullish cross with its 20-week counterpart. Such a move is bullish by nature, and could signal that the stock is in for an intermediate-term push. Of course, any intermediate run higher will have to topple the aforementioned 50-week moving average. Finally, further resistance may come from DKS's 10-month moving average, which it has not closed above since early 2008.

Want good news for the sporting goods retailer? The short term doesn't look too bad. The stock spent March rising along the support of its 10-, 20-, and 50-day moving averages -- a trend that could continue.

Bottom line: The stock faces quite a bit of overhead pressure (I didn't even mention the $16 level) as far as the intermediate and long term are concerned. One may be able to capitalize on a quick push higher. Of course, the current economic environment doesn't lend itself to a lot of people buying $300 drivers and $1,500 home gyms -- for that reason, it may take DKS longer than other retailers to finally catch onto a broader rally.

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Last updated: November 25, 2009: 10:49 AM

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