Is Google's YouTube destined for the trash can?


Google, Inc.'s (NASDAQ: GOOG) YouTube, the online video juggernaut that has more brand recognition than most things online or offline, could be just that -- brand recognition. It sure hasn't made Google loads of cash since the billion-dollar acquisition a few years back. Since then, YouTube has become a behemoth. Just like in Google's case with many of its products, though, it's now one of many products that is having trouble finding a revenue stream that's sustainable.


Will YouTube ever find a way to make money? The specs are this for 2009: a $240 million tab in ad revenue this year, but a whopping $711 million in operating costs. Yikes. Like many internet businesses that are hot-potato topics everywhere, this one is also having trouble making money. It's the old advertising adage: once you give something away for free and then try to monetize it later with advertising, it may or may not work. Irk your customer base and they'll leave in droves. Find a model that works and you're gold.

And YouTube is not the holy grail of legit video on the web, either. Will any sponsor want to be associated with the plethora of questionable (yet entertaining) consumer content that makes up most of YouTube? That's the unanswered question still floating around in the ad industry. If Google can't monetize eyeballs for its consumer-generated content, then YouTube is going to have some serious cash issues beyond the hundreds of millions Credit Suisse predicts it will lose in 2009. If Google culls user-generated content from YouTube in an effort to go the Hulu route, will consumers just create another community? That's how YouTube was started in the first place. The market has not yet penalized Google for YouTube, as GOOG sits at over $476 today and has been spiking upward since hitting the sub-$300 mark in early March.

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