Wal-Mart no longer a friend of Dasani water?


I hope the following article out on Reuters isn't wholly accurate. I can see the logic of what's being reported, however. According to the item, Wal-Mart Stores, Inc. (NYSE: WMT) could be reducing the valuable real estate in its stores that is devoted to bottled water from popular brands. This includes The Coca-Cola Company's (NYSE: KO) Dasani and PepsiCo, Inc.'s (NYSE: PEP) Aquafina. This observation is being sourced to analyst Bill Pecoriello of ConsumerEdge Research. He believes that Wal-Mart might be trying to focus on the value consumer by offering more shelf space to generic brands.

There is a serious ring of truth to this. We've heard about Wal-Mart and its love of the private-label strategy. The economy has been so hard on the consumer, and the retail giant sees opportunity in leveraging the science of price elasticity. Why invest in higher-priced products when consumer confidence is low and people are so conscious of what things cost?

Well, if you're a shareholder of either Coke or PepsiCo, or both, you need to worry about this. The fact that the water segment is being targeted is particularly troubling. I own shares of Coke, I've owned them since the late '90s, I've followed the company and its portfolio closely for a long, long time. Believe me, carbonated beverages are having a tough time growing. People aren't drinking the flagship products -- namely Coke and Pepsi -- like they used to. They're going after healthier alternatives such as waters and juices. Both Coke and Pepsi need to do well with Dasani and Aquafina since those products are being counted on to replace a lot of the growth that has been lost in the carbonated stuff.

If Wal-Mart truly is devoting less shelf space to these brands, then the big-brand beverage names need to get out there and market the heck out of their products. They need to attack the private labels head on. Figure out some creative way to say that Dasani and Aquafina are worth the extra dough. Believe me, it's tough. I myself sometimes try to steer friends to Dasani (again, I own KO). Know what one colleague always tells me? He says "I get whatever's cheapest that week." Great, thanks a lot, pal!

Now, I wouldn't necessarily say that investors should sell their Coke or PepsiCo shares solely on this news item, but I believe shareholders do need to follow this story (assuming it further develops). Wal-Mart isn't just some retailer. It's the retailer. Wal-Mart can really screw up the distribution plans of any supplier. So, I hope Coke and PepsiCo take this issue very, very seriously. They better be out there lobbying Wal-Mart hard. Of course, Wal-Mart could be doing this merely to get some better pricing from the two major vendors. Price deflation is all the rage, as we know. Question is, can brand equity trump price, especially when it comes to something as simple and ubiquitous as water? It's going to be tough, Coke and PepsiCo. Get your best people on it...

Disclosure: I own Coke; positions can change without notice.

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