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Doomsday Scenario: 80% home default spike in CA, Freddie Mac CFO suicide

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Back to the trenchant trenches. More bad housing news came out of California. The loan default rate spiked 80% in the first quarter, according to DataQuick. This is a precursor to a HUGE spike in foreclosures (defaults are the first step down this road) and a strong indicator that the real estate market in California still has another leg down. Even wealthy spots like Santa Clara and Contra Costa counties are showing mid-double digit increases in default notifications.

In very sad news, the CFO of Freddie Mac apparently committed suicide at his Virginia home, according to the New York Times. This means two things. First, media pressure on these guys is probably so great that they may not be able to do their jobs properly. Secondly, Freddie Mac is still clearly in a whole heap of trouble. CalculatedRisk reports that U.S. vehicle miles were off in .9% in February, coming on the heels of months of previous declines. People driving less is usually a sign that the economy is still shrinking.

Alex Salkever is Director of Research at Piqqem.com, a stock prediction community and stock sentiment information provider.

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Last updated: November 10, 2009: 06:37 PM

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