Something interesting is happening in the world of the NFL as this weekend's draft approaches. With so much talent in the pool, it appears that every team with one of the top 10 picks is trying to trade out of their current draft position.
In the past, teams used this chart to determine the value of draft picks when trying to trade up or down in the draft. Basically, if you wanted to trade into the top spot from the 16th spot with just draft picks, you would have to find a way to get the team in the top spot as much value as possible. The difference between the 16th and the top pick is 2,000 points, so equaling this value could be rather difficult (just ask the New Orleans Saints who traded an entire draft to pick Ricky Williams).
Mayock told the Santa Rosa Press-Democrat that it all goes back to "simple economics." In fact, the amount of talent in the draft has meant that teams throw that old draft chart "completely out the window." So, can my Cincinnati Bengals talk someone into taking that sixth pick off their hands? It seems very unlikely, especially with the compensation the team would expect.
While I could use this forum to talk about all the needs of my favorite team, I want to point out how interesting it is that a concept like economics has found its way into the NFL Draft. If teams can't get the value they perceive is worthy of their pick, they will simply keep the pick.
However, the salary situation has become a bit upside down. Let's use the Bengals as an example -- okay, let's not -- they are pretty stingy with money and sometimes just won't spend for the good players. Let's use the Detroit Lions instead as an example. Thanks to last year's record-setting season, the Lions have the first overall pick -- a position they have become accustomed to in the past.
This year the Lions are expected to draft Georgia quarterback Matthew Stafford -- and pay him a lot of money. The problem here is they are speculating on how good this kid can be. Exactly how many passes has he thrown in the NFL? As many as I have, and where is my multi-million-dollar contract? Nevertheless, this youngster will pull down a major contract without having proven himself -- and this contract will put a strain on the Lions.
Say what you want about their past drafts (which have been bad), the biggest problem is that paying out multi-million-dollar contracts to unproven rookies has taken a toll on the Lions (the Bengals, the Browns, the 49ers, and the Seahawks). You see, when the Lions pay a ton of money to an unproven rookie (usually a receiver thanks to Matt Millen), they take money out of the pool that they can spend on free agents. When the Lions give Stafford his millions, they will handcuff themselves for the future.
Believe me, I am not making an excuse for my Bengals (they are just bad) -- but look at the bottom of the draft. Do you think it was a coincidence that the Steelers had all that money to throw at James Harrison? No, they saved money by being good and having late draft picks. What originally started as a plan to even the playing field in the NFL has turned on its head and is now punishing the bad teams.










