Tasty profits from American Italian Pasta (AIPC)


This post is part of a seven article report -- Food for thought: Best bets in food & beverage stocks.

American Italian Pasta Company (NASDAQ: AIPC) has caught the attention of two leading advisors -- Dennis Slothower and Elizabeth Harrow.

Slothower, editor of Stealth Stocks has chosen the issue as his latest "stock of the month" while Harrow, an analyst with Schaeffer's Investment Research, has selected the stock as her latest "undiscovered gem".

Slothower explains, "American Italian Pasta commenced operations in 1988 and believes it is the largest producer and marketer of dry pasta in North America.

"Pasta is a great recession food. With the recession continuing to be a long and deep one, pasta is the ideal food to stretch the budget.

Slothower continues, "In spite of the tough economic times, AIPC is continuing to grow: revenue increased by 53% in the first quarter. AIPC continues to gain market share in both the retail and institutional markets, which bodes well for future revenue and earnings growth.

"According to my numbers, AIPC should be selling in the low $60s over the next three to five years. It is currently trading in the low $30 range, so AIPC has large upside potential.

"Place a sell stop at 25% below your entry price. As the stock rises, continue to raise your stop so that you are trailing the Friday close by 25%."

Meanwhile, Harrow says, "In search of a potential bullish play, American Italian Pasta recently caught my eye with its steady price action and compelling sentiment backdrop.

"With a market cap of just $460 million, AIPC is a small player on Wall Street. The stock has been around for more than a decade, though, having made its public trading debut back in October 1997.

"AIPC is putting the broader equities market to shame with its impressive price action. The shares have racked up a nearly unbelievable gain of 475% during the past 52 weeks, and they've added 39% in 2009 alone, recently hitting a new 52-week high.

"Despite its eye-popping advance during the past year, there are surprisingly few AIPC fans on Wall Street. Beginning with option players, it seems that speculative investors haven't yet discovered this surging security.

"Total call and put open interest among near-term options amounts to fewer than 2,200 contracts. If more option traders decide to bet on this outperforming stock, it could translate to fresh buying pressure for the shares.

"As for short sellers, many bearish bettors were forced out of their positions in 2008 in light of the stock's massive gains.

"However, short interest on the shares has crept higher throughout 2009, indicating that skeptics are trying to call a top to AIPC's uptrend. Specifically, the number of AIPC shares sold short ballooned by nearly 18% during the past month.

"These pessimistic positions now account for 5.8% of the equity's available float. If the shares continue to attain new annual highs, short-covering support could provide an additional boost of upward momentum.

"Plus, the stock's ability to weather the recent surge in selling pressure hints at deep-seated technical strength -- and it also indicates that support from its 10-week and 20-week moving averages remains solid.

"In fact, it seems that analysts are the only group who have responded to AIPC's stellar performance with enthusiasm.

"All 3 brokerage firms following the shares consider them a 'strong buy,' according to Zacks. If this under-the-radar equity captures the attention of additional analysts, fresh bullish initiations could draw more buyers to the table."

Steven Halpern's TheStockAdvisors.com offers a free daily overview of the favorite stock picks and investment ideas from the nation's leading financial newsletter advisors.

Symbol Lookup
IndexesChangePrice
DJIA-89.2312,801.23
NASDAQ-23.352,903.88
S&P 500-9.311,342.64

Last updated: February 13, 2012: 04:44 AM

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