Here's the definition of socialism:
1. a theory or system of social organization that advocates the vesting of the ownership and control of the means of production and distribution, of capital, land, etc., in the community as a whole.
2. procedure or practice in accordance with this theory.
3. (in Marxist theory) the stage following capitalism in the transition of a society to communism, characterized by the imperfect implementation of collectivist principles. (from dictionary.com)
Here's what's going on in the U.S. economy: the government is currently dictating terms to the auto and financial industries in return for much needed money to save companies from their past mistakes. Seems only fair. Any time anyone or anything accepts money, there are obligations that go with it, whether they're in the form of interest payments or equity. That's as it should be. The question is: how much control does the government need to have once the terms are in place?
If Bank of America (NYSE: BAC) or Goldman Sachs (NYSE: GS) wants to repay the loans granted by the government, why shouldn't they be permitted to do so? Goldman in particular has raised new equity just for that purpose. Even with the cost of some dilution from the warrants granted when the government loaned the money initially, Goldman is willing to repay the loan, get out from under the banking regulators and become an independent entity once again. But the government isn't willing to take back the money yet. Why is that?
Some would argue it's for the greater good. If one firm is allowed to repay the loan, does that suggest others that can't are weaker, that they are not as capable of continuing without the government funds? If so, does that put Goldman at a competitive advantage that it shouldn't have? Other banks could be just as strong but for their own reasons want to hold the government money until the economy recovers. Still others most decidedly can't repay now and will need more time.
Another argument may be that the new government bureaucrats like the power they are currently holding, a power that lets them dictate to industry titans who must come before committees and ask for help, a humbling experience. This new-found power may be too enticing to simply let go. When the head of General Motors (NYSE: GM) can be fired (and should have been for the track record he had) by the President, it sets a precedent that needs to be questioned. Is it the government's job to run private enterprise?
Of course, the answer isn't easy. When the government gives money to save GM, it has obligations to tax payers to make sure that money will be returned. That's expected, especially if current management has put the company in such dire straits that it can't save itself. But at what point does the government keep the deal at arm's length and let the company work its way out of its own mess, without government interference? It would seem that a good point is when the company wants to pay the government back.
GM is nowhere near that point. In fact, it's still cutting divisions and costs to qualify for another $11.7 billion. But that's not the case with Goldman or several of the banks. They're ready to get out from under the government's "guidance" and back to a business landscape of competition where they best flourish. Some of them won't make it, but that's what capitalism is all about.
Many would argue that we should have let all the companies go under, ones like GM and Bank of America and Citibank (NYSE: C) and Chrysler. Just let them go, swallowed by their own greed and stupidity. But that cost to society in terms of jobs lost and unemployment benefits and the domino effect it would have on all the supporting companies was too high. The government needed to save the banks to keep alive the trust people have in the banking industry. Just like highways, there are things that need to be kept in the national interest and done by the federal government. The banks already operate under regulatory guidelines and will have more once the dust settles from the latest round of imprudent lending. But it is mostly private enterprise and run by independent executives and boards.
So it's a delicate balance: how much should the government be involved in private enterprise and when should it stay out? Furthermore, once the companies are healthy, how long should the government stick around?
We already know how well the government runs the post office. Can they do any better in industries they've never been in, like autos and banking?
There are no easy answers. The idea here is to bring up the topic so that we look at what's really going on. As investors, all of us need to understand what it means when the government will most likely take a large stake in GM. Does that encourage an investor to also buy in? Or does it make many who already own the stock get out? Does the government take a large position on the board, direct the future of GM? The same questions apply to any of the companies that took government money. Does that have us creeping toward socialism? I certainly don't know, but the topic needs to be addressed.
Ted Allrich is the founder of The Online Investor, founder of Allrich Investment Management, LLC, as well as the author of the book: Comfort Zone Investing: Build Wealth and Sleep Well at Night. In this weekly column, he'll offer advice to investors who are just getting started.











Reader Comments (Page 1 of 1)
5-02-2009 @ 12:02PM
Lee Gibson said...
I wish people would stop using the post office as a whipping boy for the supposed drawbacks to government administration of business. When one considers the volume of mail, much of it junk, that they have to deal with, they do a pretty decent job, in my opinion.
5-02-2009 @ 6:19PM
ij70 said...
"Are we creeping toward socialism?"
I think we are.
5-02-2009 @ 7:15PM
Doug T said...
How much control should have over private corporations is indeed a good question. My answer would be, a lot more than they had before.
Look what the big corporates did last year when they had free reign.
Doug T......The mutual fund guy
http://www.mutualfundwealth.com/
5-03-2009 @ 4:26AM
J from Sacramento said...
The only thing that should be too big to fail is the government. Things that are too big to fail should be the domain of the government. Utility companies, national defense, education are under this category. If the auto industry and banking industry should too, then it only makes sense for the government to keep this under their control as well.
5-04-2009 @ 2:30AM
John McBaine said...
For those of us, identified by Obama as evil "speculators", who are concerned over the loss of our GM Bond and common stock investments we acquired to help provide income during our retirement years, the current tender offer to exchange GM bonds or notes into new GM Stock is worth your scrutiny.
In my first pass through the 223 page GM Prospectus on the exchange offer I discovered GM's intent is that "prior to the distribution of GM common stock to tendering holders on the settlement date we intend to effect a 1-for-100 reverse stock split (the “reverse stock split”) of GM common stock".
Do your own math: instead of receiving 225 shares of GM common stock for every $1,000.00 of bonds you hold, you would actually get 2 shares after the 1-for-100 reverse stock split. It seems significant to me that we have heard no one reporting on this reverse stock split and it is only found buried in the Prospectus fine print.
If you also have concerns about the federal government, now controlled by the Obama administration, and what the implications are of their 51% ownership of GM common stock, take a few more moments and read these direct quotes from the Prospectus on this issue:
"Risks Related to the U.S. Treasury Debt Conversion
Following the U.S. Treasury Debt Conversion, the U.S. Treasury (or its designee) will own a controlling interest in GM and its interests may differ from those of our other stockholders.
In accordance with the U.S. Treasury Debt Conversion, GM expects to issue shares of GM common stock to the U.S. Treasury (or its designee) that would consist of at least 50% of our pro forma common stock ownership upon consummation of the exchange offers.
We currently are in discussions with the U.S. Treasury regarding the governance of our company following consummation of the exchange offers and therefore we cannot assure you as to what role the U.S. Treasury will play.
Absent other arrangements, as a result of its ownership of GM common stock, the U.S. Treasury will be able to elect all of our directors and to control the vote on substantially all matters brought for a stockholder vote.
In addition, through its stockholder voting rights and election of directors, and its role as a significant lender to us, the U.S. Treasury will be able to exercise significant influence and control over our business if it elects to do so.
For example, the U.S. Treasury will be able (if it elects to do so) to influence matters including:
• the selection and tenure and compensation of our management;
• our business strategy;
• our relationship with our employees, unions and other constituencies
• our financing activities, including the issuance of debt and equity securities.
In the future we may also become subject to new and additional government regulations regarding various aspects of our business as a result of the U.S. government’s ownership in (and financing of) our business. These regulations could make it more difficult for us to compete with other companies that are not subject to similar regulations.
To the extent the U.S. Treasury elects to exercise influence or control over us, its interests (as a government entity) may differ from those of our other stockholders. In addition, the U.S. Treasury’s ability to prevent any change in control of GM could also have an adverse effect on the market price of GM common stock. The U.S. Treasury may also, subject to applicable securities laws, transfer all or any portion of its GM common stock to another person or entity and, in the event of such a transfer, that person or entity could become the controlling stockholder.
Possible future sales of GM common stock by the U.S. Treasury could adversely affect the market for GM common stock.
We cannot assure you as to if, when, how or to whom the U.S. Treasury will transfer its GM common stock, or the effect, if any, that future sales (whether public or private) by the U.S. Treasury of GM common stock would have on the market price of such stock. Sales or other transfers of substantial amounts of GM common stock, or the perception that such sales could occur, could adversely affect the market price of GM common stock.
If the U.S. Treasury sells or transfers shares of GM common stock as a block, another person or entity could become a controlling shareholder of our company."
Now, if the above statement isn't enough to scare the hell out of any evil "speculators" out there, or any other potential GM investor, I don't know what it would take.
Good luck to the terrific GM management team that ran our company right into the ground. You willingly turned control over to the government and GM (now Government Motors?), will get direction from the Green Crowd to build all those wonderful fuel efficient Fiat models that American drivers have been waiting desperately to buy.
As for me? I concede defeat. My GM common stock investment has been "zeroed out" and my GM bond holdings are soon to follow. I guess that's all an evil "Speculator" should expect.
John McBaine
jmcbaine@aol.com
6-15-2009 @ 8:37PM
winslow said...
Before we decide where we are heading, perhaps we should analyze what brought us to this point