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Comfort Zone Investing: Are we creeping toward socialism?

Here's the definition of socialism:

1. a theory or system of social organization that advocates the vesting of the ownership and control of the means of production and distribution, of capital, land, etc., in the community as a whole.
2. procedure or practice in accordance with this theory.
3. (in Marxist theory) the stage following capitalism in the transition of a society to communism, characterized by the imperfect implementation of collectivist principles. (from dictionary.com)

Here's what's going on in the U.S. economy: the government is currently dictating terms to the auto and financial industries in return for much needed money to save companies from their past mistakes. Seems only fair. Any time anyone or anything accepts money, there are obligations that go with it, whether they're in the form of interest payments or equity. That's as it should be. The question is: how much control does the government need to have once the terms are in place?

If Bank of America (NYSE: BAC) or Goldman Sachs (NYSE: GS) wants to repay the loans granted by the government, why shouldn't they be permitted to do so? Goldman in particular has raised new equity just for that purpose. Even with the cost of some dilution from the warrants granted when the government loaned the money initially, Goldman is willing to repay the loan, get out from under the banking regulators and become an independent entity once again. But the government isn't willing to take back the money yet. Why is that?

Some would argue it's for the greater good. If one firm is allowed to repay the loan, does that suggest others that can't are weaker, that they are not as capable of continuing without the government funds? If so, does that put Goldman at a competitive advantage that it shouldn't have? Other banks could be just as strong but for their own reasons want to hold the government money until the economy recovers. Still others most decidedly can't repay now and will need more time.

Another argument may be that the new government bureaucrats like the power they are currently holding, a power that lets them dictate to industry titans who must come before committees and ask for help, a humbling experience. This new-found power may be too enticing to simply let go. When the head of General Motors (NYSE: GM) can be fired (and should have been for the track record he had) by the President, it sets a precedent that needs to be questioned. Is it the government's job to run private enterprise?

Of course, the answer isn't easy. When the government gives money to save GM, it has obligations to tax payers to make sure that money will be returned. That's expected, especially if current management has put the company in such dire straits that it can't save itself. But at what point does the government keep the deal at arm's length and let the company work its way out of its own mess, without government interference? It would seem that a good point is when the company wants to pay the government back.

GM is nowhere near that point. In fact, it's still cutting divisions and costs to qualify for another $11.7 billion. But that's not the case with Goldman or several of the banks. They're ready to get out from under the government's "guidance" and back to a business landscape of competition where they best flourish. Some of them won't make it, but that's what capitalism is all about.

Many would argue that we should have let all the companies go under, ones like GM and Bank of America and Citibank (NYSE: C) and Chrysler. Just let them go, swallowed by their own greed and stupidity. But that cost to society in terms of jobs lost and unemployment benefits and the domino effect it would have on all the supporting companies was too high. The government needed to save the banks to keep alive the trust people have in the banking industry. Just like highways, there are things that need to be kept in the national interest and done by the federal government. The banks already operate under regulatory guidelines and will have more once the dust settles from the latest round of imprudent lending. But it is mostly private enterprise and run by independent executives and boards.

So it's a delicate balance: how much should the government be involved in private enterprise and when should it stay out? Furthermore, once the companies are healthy, how long should the government stick around?

We already know how well the government runs the post office. Can they do any better in industries they've never been in, like autos and banking?

There are no easy answers. The idea here is to bring up the topic so that we look at what's really going on. As investors, all of us need to understand what it means when the government will most likely take a large stake in GM. Does that encourage an investor to also buy in? Or does it make many who already own the stock get out? Does the government take a large position on the board, direct the future of GM? The same questions apply to any of the companies that took government money. Does that have us creeping toward socialism? I certainly don't know, but the topic needs to be addressed.

Ted Allrich is the founder of The Online Investor, founder of Allrich Investment Management, LLC, as well as the author of the book: Comfort Zone Investing: Build Wealth and Sleep Well at Night. In this weekly column, he'll offer advice to investors who are just getting started.

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Last updated: November 27, 2009: 08:00 AM

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