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Social Security will run out of money... in the year 2525

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Sometimes the most basic of problems -- ones where the solution is fairly simple -- linger for decades in Washington, primarily for protection of status quo reasons.

A good example is Social Security -- the huge, bedrock entitlement program, often portrayed as facing a dire circumstance, when, in fact, as former U.S. Labor Department Secretary and current Berkeley Professor Robert Reich pointed out, the solution is fairly basic.

The American people have been reading about Social Security 'running out of funds to pay beneficiaries,' since the 1970s; perhaps since the program was launched by FDR and Congress in the 1930s. First Social Security was going to run out of money in 1980, then 1993, then 2010, then 2016. We'll get to the year 2525 and some will still be arguing that Social Security's difficult stretch is up ahead.

Congress has not disappeared

True, Congress has borrowed from Social Security's Trust Fund to pay for current programs -- something Congress should not have done -- but that does not mean the United States does not have the resources to cover all of Social Security's beneficiaries and claims.

Writing in The Huffington Post, Reich mentioned one measure to close Social Security's modest, long-term deficit: lift the cap on Social Security payroll taxes on workers earning more than $250,000 per year.

Here's what I'd add to to Reich's recommendation to ensure that Social Security -- a successful pension system that's lifts tens of millions of senior citizens out of poverty every year -- remains a functioning pension.
  • raise the current Social Security tax rate to 7.5% from the current 6.2% or both employees and employers
  • earmark a portion of the estate tax to Social Security
  • raise the retirement age to 70 beginning in 2020 or 2025. Life expectancies should be such that age 70 will certainly look like age 60 by then, if not sooner. (I.E. "age 50 is the new 40, 40 is the new 30 etc.)
  • develop a more-accurate consumer price index for Social Security: the current one overstates inflation, something that has led to higher-than-required cost of living increases for Social Security recipients.
Reich's idea is a good first step. Add the remaining modifications and Social Security will have more than adequate funds to pay for Baby Boom generation retirees, and then some in the decades ahead.

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Financial Editor Joseph Lazzaro is writing a book on the U.S. presidency and the U.S. economy.

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Last updated: November 25, 2009: 06:33 AM

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