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Is there a Bernie Madoff in your portfolio?

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As you read stories about victims of the Madoff fraud, aren't you glad that you weren't one of them? Why are you so sure that it will never happen to you? How do you know its not happening to you now?

In academic financial research, there's a concept called "agency risk." Agency risk occurs when someone who is acting as your agent has a set of interests that conflict with yours. In investing, agency risk is rampant because one party can often gain from an action that will cause a loss to the investor without the investor even knowing it! Bernie Madoff was an agent of the investors who hired him to manage their money and he was crooked for years until his scheme ended. But investors face plenty of legal, yet sometimes equally dangerous forms of agency risk. It is important to understand them and find ways to mitigate these risks.

Let's start from the beginning. Unless you hit the genetic lottery and got a trust fund, you earned your investable assets in your own business or profession. Whether you owned yogurt stores, were a partner in a law firm, or dental practice, or were a well-paid corporate executive, you earned your money doing something that you knew a lot about. You knew the customers, the employees, how you would get paid and what the risks were.

Now you have money to invest and you are about to put it in businesses that you don't understand as well, run by strangers. How your investments perform may determine the kind of lifestyle that you will lead in the future, the kinds of colleges your kids or grandkids will be able to attend or even your approach to philanthropy. So it's important to look for companies and people you believe you can trust. These are now going to be your "agents."

Suppose you buy a stock that you think will make you money. You read about it, saw the CEO on CNBC, or a friend who owns it was extolling its virtues. The success of your investment will partly depend on decisions made by management and directors. As your agent, management controls what happens to your money and they might want to pay for things that you as an owner would not.

Let's say that you bought shares in a hypothetical company called "Diversified Widgets," where the CEO was able to populate the board with directors who are all ex-frat buddies. You read an obscure paragraph in a proxy statement that the directors voted to give the CEO a large stock options package that dilutes your investment and pay him an outsized salary, taking earnings away from you. While the SEC tries to police these "unfriendly" shareholder practices, it's not that easy to detect. In the extreme case of Enron, the management team stole the whole company from its owners who lost 100% of their money.

This is why Warren Buffett prefers to purchase entire businesses, like Sees Candy, rather than own pieces of businesses by owning publicly traded stocks. He likes to be in control and not hand it over to agents called "directors" and "management."

If you buy your own individual stocks, your agency risk is a function of how much diversification is in your portfolio. But if you buy a mutual fund, you're now adding another layer of agents because you've invested in another business (a mutual fund) that is in the business of buying parts of other businesses (public stocks). The mutual fund manager is motivated to acquire more assets because he is paid a percentage on all assets he manages. In order to acquire more assets, he will do many things that are not in your best interest, including trading stocks (which creates taxes and fees), charge you fees to market to new investors, and engage in a variety of other practices that have been widely criticized in the many publications (Google "mutual fund fraud").

If you get help from an investment adviser, you're adding yet a third layer of agency risk. When you walk into your local broker, like Merrill Lynch, and ask for advice, they'll set you up with a well-groomed, smart, and articulate financial adviser who will take your money and invest it with the best mutual funds for a yearly asset management fee. You've turned into an annuity for Merrill Lynch and added a third layer of agency risk.

With three layers of agents -- all with potential conflicts -- between you and your money, what is the likelihood that you have a Bernie Madoff in your portfolio? It may be one stock with a fraudulent management team that goes to $0. Or a mutual fund that "blows up" and you lose 67% of your investment, or the supposedly safe Schwab Hi Yield Money Market Fund. Or worse yet, the broker who has not served you well and puts a serious dent in your net worth by making poor decisions on your behalf.

The point is that the more agents you have between you and your money, the higher the chances are of having fraud, underperformance, and for sure, high fees. And because agents in the investment business generally have interests that conflict with yours, you are exponentially adding to the risk that something bad can happen.

I am not suggesting that you sell your securities, buy an apartment building, fix toilets and "be one" with your investments. But here are some ways to mitigate the risks:

1. Buy ETFs. When you buy exchange-traded funds (ETFs), you are essentially paying fees for a computer to buy all the stocks in a given universe of stocks -- instead of a mutual fund manager. The costs are about 80% less and you'll also end up with hundreds of stocks instead of a handful of the mutual fund manager's favorites, which reduces your exposure to any one company and the risk that a money manager has conflicting interests with yours.

2. Do it yourself. Instead of hiring an investment adviser to manage your money, do your own investing. There are many books and software tools to help folks who aren't that interested in investing, but want to have the control. These tools are getting better all of the time. Alternatively, if you want help, pay by the hour, not a percentage of your assets.

3. Monitor agency risk. Carefully evaluate your investments, think about who is controlling your money, and the different layers of agents between you and your money. The more layers, the more people getting paid and more risk to your portfolio and investment success.

Is there is a Bernie Madoff in your portfolio? Take some preventative measures just in case!

Mitch Tuchman founded MarketRiders, an investment website providing individuals with software that enables them to invest like the world's wealthiest families and endowments.

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Last updated: November 09, 2009: 09:14 PM

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