What will happen if Baby Boomers retire with 401Ks that look like 201Ks?


Academics, being a privileged and rarefied lot, almost by second nature consistently look down the field.

Hey, it's what one is supposed to do when one has lifetime job security and is freed of many of the burdens that occupy most others in the American workforce.

For the above reasons, and others, academics tend to see things others don't. Case in point: the slumping stock market, the U.S. recession, and decidedly less-cash-flush credit markets.

For the jarring, but not-very-rigorous (nor persuasive) commentators on the 24-hour cable news channels, Sean Hannity of Fox News among them, this down-time for the U.S. economy has led to the rise of President Obama and the Democrats!!! Oh my!!! Not quite: one can detect that Hannity is not looking down-the-field.

The conditions we're experiencing today represent, among other things, a test of the U.S.'s 401K system of defined contribution pensions -- sort of like its first big encounter with harsh weather. The 401K system works well, but it is not perfect, as many Americans nearing retirement age with depleted 401Ks have realized. If the U.S. economy does not start to recover by Q3/Q4 and the bull market does not resume by 2010, look for these Americans to increase pressure on their elected officials, specifically their Congressman/woman, to address their needs, and provide them with a better chance at a decent retirement.

You don't say?

No, don't look for the United States to adopt the pension system of France or Germany. But do look for increased public pressure to seek changes regarding how most employees amass funds for retirement income, if the U.S. economic recovery, and all of the good things it implies, does not begin in the immediate quarters ahead.

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Financial Editor Joseph Lazzaro is writing a book on the U.S. presidency and the U.S. economy.

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