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Tibco Software (TIBX) a rumored buyout target

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TIBX logoTibco Software (NASDAQ: TIBX - option chain) shares are rising today on reports from Swiss newspaper NZZ am Sonntag that SAP AG (NYSE: SAP) is considering an acquisition of the company. If you think that the stock won't fall by too much in the coming months, then now could be a good time to look at a bullish hedged trade on TIBX.

TIBX opened this morning at $9.53. So far today the stock has hit a low of $9.16 and a high of $9.87. As of 11:35, TIBX is trading at $9.42 up 0.95 (11.2%). The chart for TIBX looks bullish and S&P gives TIBX a positive 4 STARS (out of 5) buy ranking.

For a bullish hedged play on this stock, I would consider a November bull-put credit spread below the $7.50 range. A bull-put credit spread is an options position that combines the purchase and sale of put options to hedge risk in case the stock doesn't do what you think but still leverage nice returns. For this particular trade, we will make an 8.7% return in three and a half months as long as TIBX is above $7.50 at November expiration. TIBX would have to fall by more than 20% before we would start to lose money.

TIBX has shown support around $8.25 recently.

Brent Archer is an options analyst and writer at Investors Observer.

DISCLOSURE: Mr. Archer owns and/or controls diversified portfolios of long and short stock and option positions that may include holdings in companies he writes about. At publication time, Brent neither owns nor controls positions in TIBX nor SAP.

Symbol Lookup
IndexesChangePrice
DJIA+30.5410,464.25
NASDAQ+7.832,177.01
S&P 500+4.791,110.44

Last updated: November 25, 2009: 03:14 PM

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