Traders anticipate a bull move in natural gas


Last year when crude oil prices rose to $147.00 per barrel, many homeowners and businesses converted from oil to natural gas.

On Wednesday, U.S. gas futures fell to $3.049 per mBtu, the lowest in seven years, as the market remains oversupplied.

Now enters a large unknown hedge fund that spent millions buying $10.00 January and February call options. The options give buyers the right to purchase natural gas at $10.00 per million BTUs.

Why would speculators make such a play? $10.00 calls are way above the market. What is their crystal ball saying? They are betting on a spike in gas prices during the peak heating season. That would also cause an increase to those who last year converted to natural gas.

Some traders are skeptical about such a surge in prices, pointing out that January calls are selling for 5.6 cents. 10,000 contracts would cost $5.6 million. Even if the price rises anywhere near 10 cents, the company makes a neat profit.

If you are heating with natural gas, keep an eye on this market, especially going into the winter season.

Have you seen an increase in your gas bill in recent months?
Yes9 (23.1%)
No19 (48.7%)
Don't know11 (28.2%)

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Last updated: February 13, 2012: 02:37 PM

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