Coinstar's (NASDAQ: CSTR) Redbox, a convenient movie-rental kiosk, has really shaken things up in the media industry. BloggingStocks has covered recent events surrounding this asset: Zac Bissonnette wrote an article earlier in the month discussing the subject of litigation with certain studios, and Brent Archer covered a possible options play connected to a deal with Viacom (NYSE: VIA).
I won't rehash all of the details, but let me boil it down to the salient issue: studios such as Disney (NYSE: DIS), General Electric's (NYSE: GE) NBC Universal, and Time Warner (NYSE: TWX) are all worried about the devaluation of physical media. Redbox charges a single dollar per day for a DVD rental. This frightens content makers. Executives at these companies believe that discs must be defended since they are an important way of amortizing costs associated with making films. Even those entities that have decided to engage the Redbox model probably aren't happy about it. Lions Gate (NYSE: LGF) surely doesn't enjoy the deflation of the DVD, but it is playing ball nevertheless.
I understand the predicament Hollywood is in because of this disruptive distribution platform. No one wants to see the price of a whole product line undermined. This battle isn't new, by the way. I remember years ago when some in Tinsel Town were angered by McDonald's (NYSE: MCD) and its movie-selling ambitions. Anyone recall the old Indiana Jones promotion back in the early '90s? I got all three of the flicks in the trilogy on VHS tape for something like $5/$6 a piece with the purchase of a meal. People were screaming even then about how consumers were being programmed to reject higher price points for content.
Thing is, we're in a different age. The web is devaluing content like crazy. Look at the music and print industries: consumers just don't want to pay up. They're used to downloading stuff either for free or for a very small amount of money. The genie is out of the bottle, and there's no turning back.
Yet, studios should make sure that they differentiate product that is placed in Redbox from product that is placed on retail shelves. This may be a radical idea, but what about placing some ads on the Redbox discs? You get what you pay for, right? For the convenience of a kiosk and the low price of a buck, maybe viewers should watch a short commercial before the film begins and one in the middle; the power to skip over these ads would be deactivated. In a sense, it's no different than YouTube trying to figure out how to monetize its platform. In this case, studios would merely be attempting to gauge a method for defending the valuation of their libraries. I don't think Redbox would have a problem with such a strategy. Retail-distributed discs would remain ad-free. Besides, when you go to theaters nowadays, you essentially have to sit through promotional inventory before the main show, right? It's really not a stretch. Plus, as this article about News Corp.'s (NASDAQ: NWS) home-video ideas makes clear, you can take away all extra features from rental discs. The point of this thought experiment is to encourage studios to stop whining, accept what they cannot change, and adjust via innovation.
As for investment ideas from this piece, I think some due diligence on Coinstar is definitely recommended. Check out Tom Taulli's piece on the company's latest earnings numbers. The growth story for Coinstar should have several more chapters to go. As always, if you do want to buy, try to remain patient for a pullback, or at least be ready to improve your cost basis through additional purchases.
Disclosure: I own Disney and GE; positions can change without notice.
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Reader Comments (Page 2 of 2)
8-31-2009 @ 4:13AM
Michael manning said...
When are the film people going to figure out that people cannot afford the hire prices that they want?
Red Box is truely the lowest cost that real people can afford
to rent a movie!!!!!!!! Its un american to say hey since you are only a dollar rental station you will get the movies month's after your high priced counter parts....
All of the movie industry needs to grow up and get with the
real times of reality and get out of there fantasy land thinking that everything is Ok and fine and that people have money to burn..... That is a thing of the past, people just do not hve the extra funds any more to pay the high prices that they want...........
8-31-2009 @ 11:43AM
nativevillage500 said...
Lowering prices to make movies more affordable for "real" folks is hurting the movie industry? In other words, the film industry will have to cut back on mega-million dollar production costs, and multi-million dollar contracts for actors, and all the perks and bells and whistles that we, the consumers, have enabled them to enjoy?
Shame on us. Where are our prioritities?
8-31-2009 @ 1:06PM
Mary said...
I love redbox movies!!! I would not dream of going to BB or to the theater when I can rentem for $1. THen I can see more movies because for theprice of one movie elsewhere I can get 3 or 4 a week. And if there is one I really like, I can preview it on Redbox and then go buy it at Walmart for my own collection. Plus I love driving up to the machine and not having to take the whole family in to the store and avoiding the candy area and all that.