Collective Brands (NYSE: PSS), which owns the Payless shoe store, issued its Q2 release after the bell on Wednesday. Earnings per share took a significant dive once you made some adjustments for last year's results. They came in at 29 cents per share, a decrease of over 40%. Net sales went down over 8%.
On the surface, the news isn't good -- and it gets worse. As we all know, every investor has to play the earnings game with Wall Street. Collective Brands lost the good fight. The market was looking for 33 cents per share, according to Earnings.com. Coming in four pennies short is about as comfortable as wearing sneakers two sizes too small. Shares of Collective Brands were punished in the after-hours' session, with investors bidding the stock down by close to 7% at one point, though it later recovered.
I see, however, that the company did well with its gross margin. Also, free cash flow saw a nice improvement. These two elements make me feel better about the drop in both sales and adjusted earnings. One thing needs to be noted, however. Some of this improvement was driven by the absence of litigation effects. This provides important context for the shareholder.
I have to say, I like to buy Payless footwear. Recently, I took advantage of the company's BOGO offer. That's buy-one-get-one-half-off, in case you didn't know. But you know what? I bet you were aware of the promotion. Payless gets consumers excited about the deal, at least from my viewpoint. It helps differentiate the business, and provides a boost in the arm to brand equity. Nevertheless, comments in the release indicate to me that opportunities for further marketing innovation, as well as additional operational efficiencies, remain in the system.
My sense is that Collective Brands will be a decent investment vehicle for the longer term. As the retail environment gets better, footwear sales should go up. But since the reaction to the earnings news was not so hot, you should be careful and do a lot of due diligence before buying. And remember that the company does have strong competitors such as Wal-Mart (NYSE: WMT) and Kohl's (NYSE: KSS). Consumers have choices about where to buy footwear. And with same-store sales for Collective Brands in need of repair, such choice will only add to the headaches for management. We'll see what happens as we get into the busy holiday season.
Disclosure: I don't own any company mentioned; positions can change without notice.











Add your comments