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How Cash for Clunkers will screw up the CPI

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John Crudele over at The New York Post writes about yet another hidden consequence of the Cash For Clunkers program: "... the folks at the US Bureau of Labor Statistics confirmed to me that the subsidy received by those 800,000 car buyers will be handled in the CPI next week as if the price of a car fell by $4,500."

Let's be very clear: This is one of the dumbest things in the history of the United States.

How the hell can you possibly count a taxpayer-funded subsidy as free money and use it to show that the cost of cars fell?

Can you imagine if the U.S. government took the increase in the number of people on the welfare rolls and then used that to show the the price of milk was on the decline because milk paid for with government money is free? This is exactly what they're doing by counting the 800,000 cars sold under the Cash for Clunkers as having cost $4,500 less than they actually cost. Using taxpayer money to buy people cars does not fight inflation.

There are two possible explanations for this gross error. One is the conspiracy theory: The Obama administration is trying to masque the effects of inflation and so it's acting as though that $4,500 rebate was actually a bolt of lightning that magically made cars cheaper without reducing the amount of money that car dealers made.

But honestly, I don't think that's likely. It's just too transparent of a ploy and it will be easy enough to adjust for the cost of Cash For Clunkers once the results are out.

That leaves us with explanation number two: The people at the United States Bureau of Labor Statistics are really, really, really stupid.

Now that sounds about right.

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Last updated: November 25, 2009: 02:01 PM

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