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American jobs, Chinese tires or trade war?

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The Obama administration has announced that it is imposing tariffs on Chinese tire imports. The three-year plan will be have 35% tariffs the first year, 30% tariffs the second year, and 25% tariffs the third year.

This is good news for U.S. tire manufacturers and bad news for Chinese tire makers. American consumers will pay more for tires over the next three years than they would if they could buy cheap Chinese tires, but it will be a benefit for U.S. big labor and domestic tire makers as their products will be more competitive.

The Chinese are calling the move protectionist. The International Trade Commission ruled that Chinese tires were hurting the domestic tire producers and has insisted that under the trade agreements it could impose tariffs.

It's interesting to note that Obama chose to release the tariff information late Friday, the time administrations usually release news they want forgotten over the weekend. Obama reduced the protective tariffs from the levels recommend by the federal trade panel. The panel recommended 55%, 45%, and 35% tariffs.

Free trade, protectionism, and taxes have been hot issues for many years, even prior to the Boston Tea Party. The Steelworkers Union claims that more than 5,000 U.S. tire jobs have been lost since 2004, and market share has risen from 4.7 % to 16.7% in that time. These tariffs only affect tires made in China, so tire manufacturing can still shift to other foreign countries.

The stakes could be much higher than just tire prices, as this action could also start a trade war. Some economists believe U.S. protectionist trade policies changes after the crash of 1929 prolonged the Great Depression.

Goodyear (NYSE: GT) and Cooper (NYSE: CTB) are two public U.S. tire manufactures that could benefit.

Kevin Kersten is a financial analyst and writer.

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Last updated: November 22, 2009: 08:17 AM

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