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Credit card defaults are up -- is the consumer maxed out?

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It's clear that we are in the midst of a credit bubble that has burst. The fallout is being felt throughout the economy but is most prominent in credit card defaults, which are rising and will continue to rise, according the leading analysts.

Two of the biggest credit card issuers are getting clobbered. Bank of America (NYSE: BAC) saw its defaults rise to 14.54% in August from 13.81% in July. Citigroup (NYSE: C) saw defaults rise to 12.14% in August from 10.03% in July. Following close behind was JPMorgan Chase & Co. (NYSE: JPM) at 8.76%, up from 7.92%.

The trend is clear. Defaults are on the rise. Banks are in a defensive mode. They are slashing credit lines to the bone, even for good customers, and raising rates to astronomical levels. Some analysts are saying that things are getting better and not to worry. These guys don't seem to get it. Until we see defaults falling, things are not getting better.

The credit bubble that burst last year still has a long run ahead of it. Foreclosures are still rising, as is unemployment. So there will be more unwinding of all types of credit, not just credit cards. The home market foreclosures are now spreading to the commercial market. These guys also use credit cards, and defaults will soon rise among small and medium size businesses.

Eventually the excesses will be wrung out and we'll get back to more normal lending and credit policies. But for now, the best course is to pay down debt if you can to avoid getting into another credit crunch like we have now.

Has your credit line been slashed? Have your rates been raised?

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Last updated: November 27, 2009: 04:14 PM

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