AOL Money & Finance

Should Comcast and NBC Universal do a deal?

More

Is Comcast (NASDAQ: CMCSA) getting ready to buy General Electric's (NYSE: GE) NBC Universal? Hard to say. According to our sister site DailyFinance, it looks like the rumor of this theoretical event might be just that -- a rumor, nothing more. Then again, maybe there's something to it.

It seems likely, though, that Comcast does want to clinch a deal with some big media company. Remember when Comcast wanted to buy Disney (NYSE: DIS)? Quite frankly, it wouldn't surprise me if it ends up taking NBC Universal off GE's corporate hands. But which group of shareholders would this benefit the most?

Personally, I think GE would. I've argued in the past that the conglomerate should retain exposure to the media industry via its NBC Universal vehicle. However, I believe the market would perceive a sale of this asset as a good thing and drive shares of GE higher. Many Wall Street investors want to see GE focus on its industrial businesses. Even if I disagree, that's simply the way it is.

If I were a Comcast shareholder, I would be very skeptical about this acquisition concept. Comcast should arguably try to gain control of more content, but absorbing an entity like NBC Universal might not be as synergistic as one might think. NBC Universal is currently having growth problems. Issues such as rising content-development costs and the decline of the home-video market have been taking a toll.

Comcast's video-on-demand service could benefit from an NBC Universal purchase. However, the potential of VOD technologies hasn't been fully exploited yet, especially in terms of pricing. Figuring out exactly what viewers are willing to pay for is a tricky exercise at best. People already complain about their cable bills, as we all know.

Then there's the problem of core competencies: would it be better for Comcast to simply concentrate on maximizing cash flows and selling its various services? Integrating NBC Universal would possibly cause management to take its eye off the ball when it comes to subscriber growth and customer service.

Comcast would definitely be a sell candidate in the short-term if it ever acquired NBC Universal. GE would probably be a buy. Individual investors, however, should not speculate on this hypothetical bit of arbitrage. Any buy decision related to either of these two companies should be made based on other fundamental reasons, not potential futures.

Disclosure: I own Disney, GE; positions can change without notice.

Add your comments

Please keep your comments relevant to this blog entry. Email addresses are never displayed, but they are required to confirm your comments.

When you enter your name and email address, you'll be sent a link to confirm your comment, and a password. To leave another comment, just use that password.

To create a live link, simply type the URL (including http://) or email address and we will make it a live link for you. You can put up to 3 URLs in your comments. Line breaks and paragraphs are automatically converted — no need to use <p> or <br /> tags.

Symbol Lookup
IndexesChangePrice
DJIA+30.6910,464.40
NASDAQ+6.872,176.05
S&P 500+4.981,110.63

Last updated: November 26, 2009: 03:38 AM

BloggingStocks Exclusives

Hot Stocks

DailyFinance Headlines

Latest from BloggingBuyouts

TheFlyOnTheWall.com Headlines

    BioHealth Investor Headlines

    WalletPop Headlines

    My Portfolios

    Track your stocks here!

    Find out why more people track their portfolios on AOL Money & Finance then anywhere else.

    BloggingStocks Partners

    More from AOL Money & Finance

    WalletPop Headlines