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CSX experiences a drop in Q3 income, but are better times ahead?

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CSX (NYSE: CSX), a railway entity similar to companies such as Burlington Northern Santa Fe Corp. (NYSE: BNI), Norfolk Southern Corp. (NYSE: NSC), and Union Pacific Corp. (NYSE: UNP), saw a nice bid during Tuesday's after-hours session. The market enjoyed CSX's Q3 earnings report so much it sent shares of the company higher by 2.6%.

What was so good about the data? According to TheStreet.com, CSX made 74 cents per share from continuing operations. The analyst community was counting on 71 cents per share. Perhaps more importantly, management seemed pretty upbeat on the state of the economy. Like a lot of other pundits, CEO Michael Ward thinks that the recession will eventually start to wane, and that we may have already experienced the bottom of the cycle.

If that's the case, then investors will be breathing a sigh of relief. This recession has been very nasty and painful. And the effects of it will linger on for a while. In fact, CSX said that net sales plunged 23% and that volumes went down 15%. Earnings from continuing operations were 93 cents per share in the year-ago period. Does this sound like everything is going to be all right?

It doesn't, but Wall Street clearly believes that we won't be in such a bad state forever. CSX has seen its shares power higher after hitting bottom back in March.

Quite frankly, I think they could go higher from here. I just don't believe that CSX is done as a momentum play. Of course, back in July, I was admittedly wrong about the stock. Why was I wrong? Well, like a large number of observers out there, I keep waiting for this legendary correction to come. And it never does! Many expect the market to hit 10,000 before possibly heading down for a little while.

Who knows what will happen. No one can predict anything. All you can do is have a good strategy in place. With CSX doing well in yesterday's after-hours session, and with the CEO so optimistic, I say that CSX might make a potentially good trade. So long as you have an exit plan ready. Use a stop to get out in case the overall sentiment turns in the wrong direction. Perform a lot of due diligence before you make your decision. The markets are definitely at that point where a lot of due diligence is requisite.

Disclosure: I don't own any company mentioned; positions can change without notice.

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Last updated: November 26, 2009: 09:21 AM

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