Caterpillar exceeds expectations: Too late to buy?


Caterpillar (NYSE: CAT) is doing great. The stock is hot, and even though the company is still reporting sales and earnings declines, you just know that the fundamentals will eventually get better. In the meantime, management is doing its best to beat earnings expectations.

Yesterday, management succeeded. For the third quarter, according to our Closing Bell post, Caterpillar said it made 64 cents per share. Analysts were expecting only 6 cents per share. Well, something was off there, huh? Anyway, according to the actual press release, sales decreased over 40%, and per-share profit was off by 15%, but really, it didn't matter to the market. Shares of the heavy equipment maker closed higher by 3%, on heavy volume.

I can understand the market enthusiasm. Caterpillar is a stock that should take off once the economy gets back on solid footing. Investors don't want to take the chance of missing out on that train.

Now, you might get a little depressed reading through some of the tidbits in the earnings release. Yes, we are still in a glum financial time. However, take a look at the statement of cash flows. For the nine-month frame, Caterpillar generated over 30% more money from operations than it did in the comparable period. The dividend obligation was amply taken care of as well.

I believe management has got a handle, for the most part, on what the company needs during the downturn. I'm sure some things could have been dealt with in a better fashion, but Caterpillar is poised to benefit from the eventual return to macro-expansion. There's no question on that count.

Shares are very close to a 52-week high. In fact, Caterpillar hit a fresh high during Tuesday's intraday session. So, you have to wonder: are these earnings good enough to buy on? Well, Caterpillar did raise its 2009 profit guidance, and from a technical standpoint, the stock should continue its upward climb. Plus, it's dividend yield is, at 2.8% as of yesterday's final bid, still close to that attractive 3% level.

I hate buying high, though. If you can wait for a pullback, do it. Otherwise, at least have some cash on hand to average into a position. Caterpillar does look exciting, and it is definitely a worthy investment idea.

Disclosure: I don't own any company mentioned; positions can change without notice.

Symbol Lookup
IndexesChangePrice
DJIA-135.2812,755.18
NASDAQ-27.982,899.25
S&P 500-13.541,338.41

Last updated: February 10, 2012: 03:27 PM

Hot Stocks

General Electric

18.82-0.31(-1.62)

Alcoa

10.235-0.405(-3.81)

Apple Inc

492.42-0.75(-0.15)

Google Inc 'A'

605.59-5.87(-0.96)

Bank of America

8.03-0.15(-1.83)

Wal-Mart Stores

61.625-0.335(-0.54)

Exxon Mobil Corp

83.41-1.47(-1.73)

Ford

12.42-0.27(-2.13)

Citigroup

32.75-0.91(-2.70)

IBM

191.58-1.55(-0.80)

Yahoo

16.15+0.15(+0.94)

Starbucks

48.58-0.62(-1.26)

Microsoft

30.41-0.36(-1.17)

Home Depot

45.165-0.105(-0.23)

DailyFinance Headlines

Benzinga Headlines

TheFlyOnTheWall.com Headlines

BioHealth Investor Headlines

WalletPop Headlines

DailyFinance BlackBerry App

My Portfolios

Track your stocks here!

Find out why more people track their portfolios on AOL Money & Finance then anywhere else.

BloggingStocks Partners

More from AOL Money & Finance

BioHealth Investor Headlines

Page Loaded in 1328905647439 ms.