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Senate seen extending a reduced first-time home buyer tax credit

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Put this one under the the category of 'a half-loaf is better than none.'

Senate leaders are apparently poised to extend the $8,000 federal tax credit for first-time home buyers, Bloomberg News reported Monday.

However, the extension will not please all in the housing sector, as the Senate is working on a plan that would extend the credit, which expires November 30, for homes that close before April 1, 2010. The credit would then be reduced to $6,000, then $4,000, then $2,000 for homes that close in each successive quarter, until the end of 2010, at which time the credit program would end.

The U.S. housing sector has shown signs of stabilizing, as new and existing home sales have trended up for more than a half-year. Still, economists and housing sector analysts are careful to point out that this year's gains follow the largest collapse of new/existing home sales in more than 25 years, hence the sales gains are starting from a low base. In sum, conditions in the sector have improved, but at this juncture the growth/activity could hardly be categorized as self-sustaining.

Housing Analysis: A better tack would have involved extending the full $8,000 through homes that close on/before December 31, 2010, or at minimum, on/before October 1, 2010 -- to give the housing sector one more year, or in the case of the latter deadline, one more summer selling season -- to stimulate sales and help jump-start the sector. But given the nation's other problems/concerns, including the budget deficit, a half-loaf from Congress is better than none.

Arguments can be made on the fairness of the program -- it provides a benefit to those citizens who are first-time home buyers over those who are not -- and who may, for example, remain renters. But little counter-argument can be made against the program on demand grounds. Simply, the U.S. economy needs all the demand it can get -- from consumers, business investment, exports, government spending -- to help offset the demand destroyed with the loss of more 7.2 million jobs during the recession. The nation needs all hands on deck to get the U.S. economy moving again.

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Last updated: November 25, 2009: 07:55 AM

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