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Bank of New York Mellon: Sideways action is Buy opportunity

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The extended Buy opportunity continues at Bank of New York Mellon (NYSE: BK), and I'm Reiterating my Buy rating for the company's shares, first recommended on April 6, 2009 at a price of $28.16.

Founded by Alexander Hamilton, The Bank of New York provides services that enable institutions and individuals to move and manage their financial assets in more than 100 markets globally. The core of BK's business -- custodial services -- is doing just fine, with $16 trillion in assets under custody.


BK's shares have flat-lined since about June, even though net interest margins should widen, and costs controls to-date have been adequate. Further, in FY2010 revenue should rise 5-7%, but as of now, the market has not priced that revenue gain into the stock. The First Call FY2009/FY2010 EPS estimates for BK are $2.05 to $2.41.

Technically, BK's stock chart, as noted, has basically straddled the 50-day moving average for six months. Typically, that would be a cause for concern, but BK gets the benefit of the doubt here.

Stock Analysis: The Bank of New York Mellon is a moderate-risk stock. If you've already purchased the company's shares, hold them. If not, consider buying a 50% position in BK now; then buy another 25% in one month, if U.S. and global economic conditions don't worsen substantially. Under any circumstance, don't buy more than 75% of your BK position before December 2009. Sell/Stop Loss if you were to buy shares in this company: $17.

Disclosure: Lazzaro has no positions in stocks, but does own shares in two Pimco Bond Funds: PHDAX and PYMAX.

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Last updated: November 26, 2009: 04:01 AM

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