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Ford earnings preview: Inching toward the black

Ford Motor Co. (NYSE: F), whose cost-cutting efforts encountered a setback this weekend, is scheduled to discuss its third quarter 2009 financial results in a conference call Monday at 9:00 AM ET, hosted by CEO Alan Mulally and CFO Lewis W. K. Booth. You can catch the live webcast of the call on the company's website.

During the three months that ended in September, Ford's Fusion saw record sales, it announced a boost in production, and it opened a plant in Thailand. Analysts surveyed by Thomson Reuters expect this leading auto maker to report that it further narrowed its net loss to $0.12 per share. That compares to $0.21 per share in the previous quarter and $1.31 per share a year ago. Ford has offered up smaller-than-expected losses in the past two quarters, by as much as 48 cents per share.

Revenue for the quarter is expected to be 11.8% lower to $28.3 billion, despite the popular cash-for-clunkers program.

So far, analysts expect Ford to continue to inch toward the black in the fourth quarter, but the forecast for the full year is for a loss of $1.35 per share on $106.3 billion in revenue. Last year's results were a loss of $3.13 per share on revenue of $139.3 billion.

Ford's long-term EPS growth forecast is 9.0%, and the First Call consensus recommendation remains to hold the stock. Yet at least one analyst is expecting a surprise third-quarter profit from Ford.

Ford closed at $7.00 on Friday, and shares have been trading in that neighborhood in the past two months, hitting resistance from the 20-day moving average. Ford is up 205.7% year to date.

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Last updated: November 26, 2009: 06:01 AM

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