U.S. House Majority Leader Steny Hoyer, D-Maryland, says he expects the House to vote on legislation that would create more jobs by the year-end holiday recess. "Clearly 10.2% unemployment is unacceptable and is causing great pain to literally millions of people around the country," U.S. Rep. Hoyer said, CNN.com reported Tuesday.
To be sure, early into the globalization era there are many problems facing the United States, but a strong argument can be made that job creation ranks at the top, above universal health care, the Iraq/Afghanistan Wars, climate change/energy policy legislation, U.S. relations with key allies, Middle East issues, and the budget deficit.
That's because more than 7.6 million Americans have lost their jobs in the nearly 2-year recession -- which many believe ended in Q3. Still, despite the now probably-expanding economy, excess industrial capacity will likely weigh on job growth in the initial stage of the expansion, making it harder to reduce the nation's high, 10.2% unemployment rate (broader measures of unemployment, including one that includes part-time workers seeking full-time work and discouraged workers, are already above 15%).
That means more demand has to be created, and one way to do that is a jobs bill, as Majority Leader Hoyer noted -- one that increases and speeds allocations for infrastructure projects and that expands tax credits that encourage companies to hire more employees.
Economic/Political Analysis: Ideally, the package should be at least $200 billion in order to create as much demand as possible. The major problem with the 2009 stimulus package was that it was too small, given the depth of the recession. However, the stimulus is starting to take effect, from a GDP growth standpoint, in addition to saving jobs at the state level via direct aid to the states. If a $200-250 billion jobs bill is passed, that injection, combined with the stimulus package, should create enough demand to make the U.S. economic expansion self-sustaining. And the above is not an inconsequential issue for Congressional Democrats: as the party in power in Congress, they need to start creating jobs and reducing unemployment by June 2010, or they will face large losses in the 2010 Congressional election.
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Financial Editor Joseph Lazzaro is writing a book on the U.S. presidency and the U.S. economy.



Reader Comments (Page 1 of 1)
11-18-2009 @ 5:17PM
Peter Van Schaik said...
Then we better hurry and buy what our neighbors build and use the services they offer or we better hope the cheaper dollar makes our goods and services so attractive to the rest of the world they snap up what we offer with total abandon. We can count on our government for a while, but not for the long term. Sooner or later it's up to the rest of us: We need to align our money with our mouths.
11-18-2009 @ 6:02PM
romanzick said...
need it badly http://www.fauzirohimi.com/2009/10/kerja-keras-adalah-energi-kita.html
11-19-2009 @ 8:39AM
Louise said...
WELL AMERICANS YOUR LUCK JUST RAN OUT. THE ONLY PEOPLE THAT GET THESE JOBS ARE THE MEXICANS, AND THAT IS ONLY ABOUT 5 FOR BILLIONS OF DOLLARS. WHERE ALL THIS MONEY GOES IS ?????? AND THE MONEY THAT IS PAYED BACK, WHERE DOES THAT GO????????? I WOULD BET THE POLITIANS POCKETS, AND THE PREZ.
11-29-2009 @ 10:38PM
Jim said...
Where are all the jobs going to come from. There can only be so many computers made and other things like that. Seems like we need to be productive like before. There are only so many jobs that are already full, where are all the other, seems like all the jobs that were here are gone. When NFTA was signed in all those jobs left this country. Then we got more imports than exports. Our cost of living in this country is still to expensive for the rest of the world. We still have a long way to fall before the rest of the poorest countries can afford us. If the governments of the world want Globolization it might take less time for a world wide depression. Then start over. The poorest people of the world won't know any different. There maybe a lot of suisides in the richest countries. All that stealing for nothing.