United States on verge of historic Senate debate on health care

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Any experienced investor knows that these are not normal times. But they could become truly historic times, if the United States is able to pass universal health care legislation in the the weeks ahead.

Sen. Majority Leader Harry Reid, D-Nevada, has crafted a health care bill that would cut the U.S. budget deficit by about $130 billion over 10 years, while extending coverage to up to 94% of Americans, The Associated Press reported Thursday. The bill's estimate cost is $848 billion.


Equally significant, Reid is apparently very close to forging the 'Sweet 60' coalition needed to guarantee the bill is debated in the Senate. Sixty votes are needed because that's the number needed to invoke cloture, to shut-off a filibuster, which is what the Republican Party is expected to do to any health care reform bill that has fewer than 60 votes.

If passed, the Senate bill would then have to be reconciled with the passed U.S. House health care reform bill, via a House/Senate conference committee.

Fiscal/ Economic Analysis: Talk about momentous times. If universal health care passes – 100 years after Teddy Roosevelt (that's right: Teddy, not Franklin D. Roosevelt) first proposed a national health insurance plan, in national public policy achievements it would have rank up there with the establishment of Social Security in 1935 and Medicare in 1965. Quite simply, many of you, particularly those over age 40, may not see as significant a public policy achievement in the United States in your lifetime.

Concerning Senate debate, the key from here will be whether Sen. Reid and other Senate Democratic leaders can keep several moderate Democrats, including Sen. Mary Landrieu of Louisiana, Sen. Ben Nelson of Nebraska, and Sen. Blanche Lincoln of Arkansas, on board and supporting the program after debate begins. The view from here argues they will remain on board, in exchange for some as-yet undetermined concessions, health care-related or otherwise.

Financial Editor Joseph Lazzaro is writing a book on the U.S. presidency and the U.S. economy.


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Last updated: February 09, 2010: 11:50 PM

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