How much would Wells Fargo need to pay off TARP like Bank of America?


It seems that the TARP-related news from Bank of America (BAC) Thursday morning has many thinking about how much capital other banks will need to raise in order to pay back taxpayers.

One of those banks that some have speculated about is Wells Fargo (WFC). According to Keefe, Bruyette & Woods (KBW), Wells Fargo may need to raise as much as $34 billion in new capital in order to repay TARP. Fortunately for Wells Fargo, KBW believes that the companies strong pre-provision and pre-tax earnings will help limit how much capital Wells Fargowould have to raise.

The brokerage stated, "In our opinion, we believe that Wells would not need to raise the full $34 billion to repay TARP ... However, we would expect that a common equity raise of $10 to $15 billion ... would be necessary to achieve at least a 6.5% to 7.0% level."

Technically, the stock faces rather staunch overhead resistance in the form of its 50-month moving average. WFC has not finished atop this trendline since 2008, and it isn't looking good for a breach of this resistance before year's end. Yes, the stock has traded above this trendline in each of the past four months. Unfortunately for WFC, the shares have not managed to remain north of this resistance before a month's end.

Along with the 50-month trendline, the $32 level looms overhead as well, ready to push the stock back if necessary. In fact, this level capped a rally in October and acted as support in the past. The fact that $32 was support in the past is important, as prior levels of support could be strengthened in their role as resistance.

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DJIA+6.5112,890.46
NASDAQ0.002,927.23
S&P 5000.001,351.95

Last updated: February 10, 2012: 09:31 AM

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