Shorts Rush to Cover After Solid 3Q from Finish Line


Finish Line (FINL) is one of the few companies stepping into the earnings spotlight during this holiday-shortened week, and traders are so far reacting with enthusiasm to the retailer's third-quarter report. Finish Line banked a surprise profit of $6.6 million, or 12 cents per share, much improved from its year-ago loss of $8.8 million, or 16 cents per share.

Revenue for the period dwindled 0.2% to $240.1 million, even as same-store sales rose 1.7%. Gross margin ticked higher to 29.5% from 27%.

The results easily surpassed analysts' predictions, which called for a third-quarter loss of 9 cents per share on $234 million in revenue. In fact, today's upbeat report snaps a year-long streak of quarterly losses for Finish Line.

"In the third quarter, we effectively controlled expenses, managed inventories and improved store execution," said CEO Glenn Lyon in a statement accompanying the release.

However, Chief Financial Officer Ed Wilhelm warned that less-than-robust traffic trends are still a concern. Third-quarter traffic fell in the mid-single digits, with no notable improvement during the current quarter. "As a result," said Wilhelm, "we are still cautious about our view of the consumer."

Following the report, FINL rocketed to a gain of nearly 10% right out of the gate. The shares gapped above short-term pressure in the $10 region, which could potentially emerge as a new-found level of support. Additionally, the stock is now set to finish the week above its 10-week and 20-week moving averages for the first time since Nov. 6.

Wednesday's healthy gains are likely being fueled by short covering. Short interest accounts for a substantial 5.2% of FINL's float, representing about five days' worth of pent-up buying pressure (at the stock's average daily trading volume).

Elizabeth Harrow is a senior equities analyst and financial writer in the research department at Schaeffer's Investment Research. She is featured in the video series Schaeffer's Daily Q&A on SchaeffersResearch.com.

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Last updated: February 10, 2012: 10:19 AM

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