Verizon Communications' (VZ) shares have risen just incrementally since the buy call at $29.86 on February 12, 2009, but I'm nevertheless reiterating my buy rating. Here's why: Look for Verizon to more than hold its own regarding wireless subscription increases, moving forward. Further, Verizon's FiOS broadband service continues to exceed expectations, and its $1.90 annual dividend adds to the positive mix: not bad, for a "stodgy" old company.
Hence, the above should be enough to help Wall Street shed its "old economy" image of VZ. True, Verizon still boasts 6 million landline subscribers -- but it's also the largest wireless carrier in the U.S., with about 89 million wireless subscribers. The First Call FY2009/FY2010 EPS estimates for VZ are $2.45 to $2.49.
Technically, as noted Verizon's stock has meandered for one year. However, an incremental uptrend remains intact, and with psychological support at $30 and inverted head-and-shoulders support at/near $28, the technicals still indicate that VZ is a buy.
2010 Outlook: Verizon is a long-term play, but if you're looking to sell VZ within the year, take your profits after it rises to $37.
Stock Analysis: Verizon Communications is a low-risk stock. If you've already purchased the company's shares, hold them. If not, consider buying a 25% position in VZ now; then buy another 25% in one month, if U.S. economic conditions don't worsen substantially. Under any circumstance, don't buy more than 75% of your VZ position before March 2010. Sell/stop loss if you were to buy shares in this company: $18.
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Disclosure: Lazzaro has no positions in stocks, but does own shares in two Pimco Bond Funds: PHDAX and PYMAX.
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