End in Sight for the Foreclosure Crisis?


Over the past couple of years, one of the most troubling aspects of the economy has been the ailing housing market, and in particular the large volumes of homes that have fallen victim to the foreclosure crisis. Finally we get some evidence that things may be moving in the right direction again.

While no one will argue that we are out of the woods just yet, it does appear as things are at least starting to recovery slightly.

The Mortgage Bankers Association released its quarterly report on foreclosures Friday, and showed that the number of people falling behind on their mortgages shrank, but at the same time, the number of homes falling three or more payments behind did continue to grow.

During the fourth quarter, the number of borrowers that fell at least one payment behind on their mortgages fell to 3.6%. During the previous quarter that figure was up at 3.8%.

While the drop is encouraging, there are still plenty of reasons for concern. It is nice that new foreclosures may be slowing, but there are still millions of homes that are already in the foreclosure process. More than 15% of homeowners that have a mortgage have missed at least one payment or are already in foreclosure. This is a record, and what is worse is that in nearly 50% of these situations the homeowners are at least three months behind. Typically this level is below 20%.

What is really encouraging is that the fourth quarter is typically the worst quarter in terms of foreclosures. With higher heating bills and holiday spending stretching homeowners to the limit, it is typically the time of year when people fall behind on their mortgages. The fact that new foreclosures fell during this historically tough period indicates that things really could be turning around, but we will still have to wait and see just how the trend continues in the current quarter.

Jay Brinkmann, MBA's chief economist, stated that the current numbers should provide "growing confidence the size of the problem now is about as bad as it will get."

So we get a little of both good and bad news in the report, but definitely a reason to think things have started to improve.

What are your thoughts on the housing market and foreclosure crisis in particular? Have we seen the worst, or should we expect to see new foreclosures start to rise again the months to come?

Reader Comments (Page 1 of 1)

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