As class action lawsuits go, I have never encountered one any more questionable than the recent complaint issued against Medivation Inc. (MDVN), via the law firm Izard Nobel LLP.
Readers of this space may recall that just a few days ago I decried the sell off of shares that occurred on the heels of Medivation's ill-fated phase 3 drug trial of the potential Alzheimer's treatment dimebon. At that time, I pointed out that one failed drug trial is not equal to the failure of a company. I still stand by that common sense determination.
In checking up on the company, I have discovered that a complaint seeking class action status has been issued against Medivation in regard to the events leading up to that same phase 3 drug trial. I tracked down the complaint and the demand for jury trial (PDF file). I read it in its entirety. Even when given my usually cynical nature, and my usual dislike for big pharmaceutical interests, I still take issue with this potential class action lawsuit.
The plaintiff alleges that the defendants used lies, deception and the omission of facts in a contrived plan to defraud investors. The plaintiff declares that the defendants successfully pursued this villainous ruse for approximately two years. And the plaintiff alleges that the defendants artificially inflated Medivation's share value. However, the plaintiffs seem to place more weight on successful marketing than on due diligence.
The plaintiff class has to cross a significant threshold of proof in order to prevail in this case. Based on my reading of the original complaint, plaintiffs fail to establish intent, fail to reveal purposeful omission of fact, and fail to establish that the actions of the defendants were the true overt cause of any artificial inflation of Medivation's stock value. Furthermore, the plaintiff's complaint seems to disregard that Medivation has had broad yet cautious support from within the Alzheimer's treatment community. Was it all wishful thinking? Perhaps it was, but that support came from many well-educated minds experienced in the field.
To me, this potential class action smacks of sour grapes. Some may be bitter because they neglected to short sell what they saw as questionable data. Some may be bitter because they sold out at the bottom of the curve. In either case, I'd still be tempted to increase my hypothetical position in Medivation. I believe that Medivation and its experimental drug dimebon have not yet hit the end of the trail.
Gary Sattler does not knowingly hold positions in the companies he writes about.
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Reader Comments (Page 1 of 1)
3-11-2010 @ 9:33AM
Bob DeMarco said...
I did not read the filing.
I really don't know how anyone could sue. Medivation received the go ahead from the FDA to proceed to a Phase 3 clinical trial with Dimebon.
The study complied with FDA rules and was a double blind study. This means that Medivation has no way to rig the results.
Investors should know that when you speculate on any Phase 3 clinical trial for a drug, you are rolling the dice.
It is not uncommon for Phase 3 clinical trials to fail. Dimebon joins the ranks with Flurizan and Alzemed to name two recent experimental drugs for Alzheimer's that failed.
I'll go with you "sour grapes".
A question a good investor might have been asking is how much near term upside was there in Medivation had the clinical trial gone the other way? A lot of the near term upside was already built into the market.
You can't be a speculator one day and an investor the next.
Speculating on the outcome of a clinical trial is risky. That is the lesson to be learned.
The outcome of the Dimebon is clearly disappointing to the Alzheimer's community. It is also disappointing to investors.
Legitimate law suit or sour grapes? I guess it depends on how well you understand the risks inherent in investing.
The law firm will get lots of free PR? The investors?
Bob DeMarco
Alzheimer's Reading Room
www.alzheimersreadingroom.com