Microsoft: Is the Stock a Sell After Earnings?


MBullish on Microsofticrosoft (MSFT) reported third-quarter earnings Thursday after the bell, but the stock did not rally. In fact, shares of the software behemoth fell 2.77% or 87 cents in after-hours trading, after dropping even lower several times. Does this mean the business isn't a viable idea right now?

Actually, I'm feeling kind of bullish on the company. I'm writing this ahead of Friday's opening, so I don't know if the pessimism is going to carry over into the new session, but I'll say this: If the stock is still down nearly a buck, I might be tempted to start a position. And before the weekend, too!

Why do I feel this way? Well, I was nervous before the report was sent to the market, as you can see from my preview. I wasn't interested in betting money ahead of the data.

Now that the earnings event has come and gone, I'm not as scared. In fact, a pullback could be useful for a quick trade. Like I said in the article, there are some convincing technical arguments in support of the Microsoft thesis.

Fundamentally, the business is a blue-chip concern, one you can be fairly confidant about. And as for the third quarter, I thought it was pretty good. Net income came in at 45 cents per share, three pennies ahead of the analysts. Cash from operations increased roughly 20% for the nine-month period, according to the corporate press release. Current valuation on the shares isn't bad, either, although they aren't as cheap as they used to be.

I don't know, maybe I'm crazy to even think about buying Microsoft as a trade, considering it's at the top end of its 52-week range. We'll see what happens, but as for current holders, I don't believe you need to sell out of your position. Over time, this technology entity should offer slow, steady growth.

Disclosure: I don't own any company mentioned (although I am strongly looking at Microsoft); positions can change without notice.

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Last updated: May 24, 2012: 12:55 AM

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