The Wild, Wild West Days of Finance Are Over


That Wall Street and the financial sector have experienced periodic scandals over the generations would not be a revelation to the experienced investor. Further, fraud and scandal can be traced to antiquity: it is not new, and it certainly is not unique to Wall Street.

What is unique now, however, is that fraud is amplified by leverage and interconnected as a result of globalization to financial centers around the world. It now has the capacity to inflict unacceptable and catastrophic damage on the financial system, and by extension, on the economy.

In that sense, the change in the impact of financial institutions is not unlike the change in the impact from society's use of wood, coal, or gas for heat/energy to society's use of electricity: a power surge or a long outage can result in much more damage.

But just as with electricity -- which was an unreliable energy source plagued with problems at the outset -- look for public policy makers to refine the use of derivatives and leverage, and more effectively define risk parameters.

Don't misunderstand: derivatives and leverage aren't going away, it's just that in the financial reforms that ensue, their use will likely be refined so that the system does not receive these 'shocks' -- shocks that can now (incredibly) run into the trillions of dollars.

What's less certain is the intervention threshold concerning systemically-significant businesses. When does the Fed and/or the FDIC and U.S. Treasury move to takeover/liquidate/seize the operations of a private organization? When its risk exceeds agreed-to parameters? After several problematic, quarterly statements? When the Fed has incontrovertible evidence of fraud or other abuse? The exhaustive answers to these questions aren't known as of this April, but this is certain: the wild, wild, west days of finance are over.

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