Ford (F) looks like a great stock. The one-year chart makes you want to cringe if you didn't get in at either the 52-week low or some lower point, at least. I know I'm kicking myself for not following the price action to profit glory. But if the stock dips, should you take a position in the automaker?
This is a tough one. Technically, I would say yes, buy on a dip. It could be an opportunity to make money on the next run toward the 52-week high of $14.57. There seems to be momentum to the situation, and if it briefly stalls, then all the better for the traders.
However, I then read an article like this one over at BusinessWeek Bloomberg that makes me rethink the technical argument. The piece warns that the quality of the next few quarters could be inferior to the one that was just reported. That doesn't make me feel so bullish.
Management defeated the analysts in Q1 by delivering an adjusted 46 cents per share versus an expected 31 cents per share, according to the news item. Sounds nice. But my big concern from a short-term perspective is if the stock will temporarily fall out of favor with Wall Street, not only because of intrinsic issues, but because the overall market might experience that long overdue correction everyone has been talking about (including myself).
Ford isn't my idea of a long-term stock, to be honest. I'd rather be in a reliable dividend-paying entity if I'm using a buy-and-hold strategy. As a trading vehicle, the equity can be useful. Right now, I'm not interested in making a purchase. According to our Analyst Calls summary, Credit Suisse has downgraded the shares and believes they could fall to a price of $10. My instinct is telling me there is too much risk to Ford and that there have to be better alternatives out there for short-term capital.
Disclosure: I don't own any company mentioned; positions can change without notice.
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Reader Comments (Page 1 of 1)
4-28-2010 @ 6:42PM
Lee Gibson said...
I sold two-thirds of my Ford shares yesterday (for about an 80% gain), but I kept the rest. I'm content to hold them for awhile to see what happens. Don't think I want any more, though.