Bullish Reversal Pattern on Blackstone After Earnings


If you have been shying away from the Blackstone Group (BX) because its stock has fallen from a high above $17 in October 2009 to a low just above $9 earlier this month, you are not alone. However, it is time to take a second look at this private-equity firm gone public.

Blackstone, citing a rebound in the value of its real estate portfolio, surprised Wall Street today by beating analyst expectations by 2 cents per share. The consensus estimate had come in at 16 cents, and Blackstone posted earnings of 18 cents per share on $205 million in profit.

This may be the catalyst the stock needed to help it complete an inverted head-and-shoulders pattern on its chart and send it climbing higher.


If you look at the price pattern Blackstone has been forming on its chart during the past few months, you will see a classic reversal pattern. The stock has a consistent resistance level at $11, but it has been forming a series of different support levels.

In early June, Blackstone formed support at $10 -- forming the "left shoulder" of the inverted head-and-shoulders pattern. In early July, the stock dropped to a lower support level of $9 -- forming the "head" of the pattern. And then a few days ago, the stock stopped at the higher, $10 support level once again -- forming the "right shoulder."

Now what we are watching for is the stock to break up and through the "neckline" of the pattern at $11. Once it does, we have a green light to watch Blackstone climb higher.

Analyst Expectations: Oppenheimer, one of the last firms to issue a rating on Blackstone, upgraded the stock from a Perform rating to a Outperform rating and gave the stock a price target of $21.

Technical Analysis: Blackstone has lost 3.63% during the past month and is currently trading above its 20-day moving average but below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages.

Disclosure: Hansen does not own shares of the stocks discussed above. Positions can change without notice.

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Last updated: February 10, 2012: 03:06 PM

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