If Snooki Can Beat Viacom, Is the Hollywood Business Model in Trouble?


SnookiI've been thinking about the whole Jersey Shore zeitgeist. You know the show. It's on Viacom's (VIA) MTV. It's a huge hit, everyone is talking about it and its stars (Snooki, The Situation, etc.). It also was mentioned in a recent conference call the media company had with investors.

It was reported that the cast was able to significantly increase its salary for the reality series. When I first heard about the demands, I mused to myself that this was a grand opportunity for Hollywood to say no to minor celebrities. After all, it's just a reality show, folks. Even though Snooki is immensely popular, there are many more Snooki-type individuals out there. Dime-a-dozen comes to mind when thinking of the goofy girl with the poofy coif.

I honestly didn't think it would be that difficult. I mean, come on. Imagine you were the exec in charge of negotiating with Snooki and her cohorts. All you'd have to say is "no." End of story. You find replacements for the franchise, or you build an entirely new franchise. There are so many cool shores around the country. Pick one, hire cheap young talent willing to pretend they're doing real things for a purported reality show that is about as real as the chances are of the Dow hitting 20,000 by the end of the year, and there you go. It's not like Viacom is trying to deduce the weird calculus lurking within the singularity of a black hole.

You can imagine my disgruntlement when I head that Viacom apparently caved (see this video for a summary). No, I'm not kidding. I was really perturbed. Anyone who reads my media commentaries knows I disdain the concept of overly compensating talent. I just don't like it. And I believe this Jersey Shore event is actually important to shareholders. It's important in the sense that it should depress anyone who owns a stock based on the Hollywood business model.

I don't own Viacom, but I do own Disney (DIS). You may own News Corp. (NWS) or maybe Time Warner (TWX). In every case, management is paying too much for talent. Will the situation (no pun intended, believe me) ever change? How can it if Viacom cannot say no to Snooki? Think about it. If Snooki can demand, and get, the money she wants, then you can forget about the top talent ever being convinced that they should take reduced salaries since they aren't the ones putting up the investment capital fueling content generation.

Unfortunately, Hollywood cannot continue on the course it's on. Media entities have had a difficult time reaping the returns they should be reaping from celluloid assets. And I believe that has had a true impact on shareholder value. You wouldn't think reality stars would have much clout. In the end, they do. Sure, it would have been scary to give up the current cast of the Jersey Shore. Why give up a good thing, right? Programmers and producers aren't drawing huge paychecks to play it safe and stay inside a comfort zone. Sure, maybe the salary increases weren't too bad considering the kind of money the series brings in, but let's be real: it's the principle involved. Shareholders should pay attention.

Disclosure: I own Disney; positions can change without notice.

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