Chasing Value: Intuitive Surgical Is Not a Bargain, but It's Close


Over most of the last ten years my favorite investment has been Intuitive Surgical (ISRG), the developers of the da Vinci robotic surgical technology.

The stock has been on quite a roller coaster ride over the past two years, rising as high as $360, then plummeting to around $86 a share. This spring it reached a new high of $393.92 on spectacular earnings and investor euphoria. That was ridiculous, but in the short run you cannot predict what the market will do.

Now, with economic concerns building, an investor lawsuit pending, and perhaps a dose of reality seeping into the stock price, it has taken another dramatic turn downward again. It closed Tuesday at $269.12, a 32% fall from its high.

It is rare for me to advise caution about ISRG, because it still has a basic monopoly in the area of robotic surgery, and is expanding globally with plenty of room to run, all the time extending its revenue for services and replacement parts. However it has been way too pricey for the last six months.

The stock still trades at a high P/E ratio around 34, but it is moving downward with increased earnings having a forward P/E projected around 29. On a relative basis this is twice the market average but inline with its growth rate, as evidenced by its eye catch PEG ratio of 1.18. These factors are something ISRG has in common with the market darling I wrote about earlier today,
Chasing Value: Apple Falling, Opportunity Calling .

Like Apple Inc. (AAPL,) Intuitive has no debt, a growing cash stash, high returns on equity and profit margins and the outlook seems positive for the foreseeable future. Like Apple this stock belongs on your watch list. Perhaps this might be a time to establish a position in the stock. I would not jump in with both feet. Just stick a toe in the investment waters and perhaps dollar cost average a few shares at a time. This strategy can prove very rewarding if you have a no transaction fee or a low fee brokerage account.

Sheldon Liber
is the CEO of a small private investment company and the principal for design and research at an architecture and planning firm. He writes the columns Chasing Value™ and Serious Money. Disclosure: He owns shares or ISRG.
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Last updated: February 10, 2012: 08:20 AM

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